Ascot 14:10 RESULTED
Class 2 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September TOTE.CO.UK Money Back 2nd Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

TOTE.CO.UK Money Back 2nd Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m3f211y

Official Result

TOTE.CO.UK Money Back 2nd Handicap Stakes (Heritage Handicap) (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Turty Tree (IRE) David Probert · Andrew Balding
    20/1
  2. 7/1
  3. 6/1
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Settled
  • 9 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Archers Bay silks
Archers Bay
Age 3 · 9-9
-13941
99
100
96
3
9-9
4/1 5/1 4/1
Archers Bay won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but his inconsistent recent form — a ninth and fourth sandwiched around those wins — gives pause, and 135 lb is a testing burden for a colt rated 99.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Guildmaster silks
Guildmaster
Age 3 · 9-9
1-378
99
91
102
3
9-9
11/1 14/1 8/1
Guildmaster shaped well when third three starts back and a winner four starts back, and he rates the one to beat on our figures carrying 135 lb, though the 79-day break is the one query.
AI verdict

SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Into The Light silks
Into The Light
Age 3 · 9-6
122010
96
88
97
3
9-6
11/1 FCST 10/1
Into The Light showed his quality when winning two starts back, and his experience over today's trip and going underlines his credentials at 132 lb; the risk is that he was unplaced last time out.
AI verdict

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Decade Of Time silks
Decade Of Time
Age 3 · 9-5
31124
95
94
97
3
9-5
7/1 FCST 13/2
SR 94 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 94 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Ancestor silks
Ancestor
Age 3 · 9-2
411
92
87
78
3
9-2
13/2 4/1 6/1
Carrying 128 lb and rated well below the field on our figures, Ancestor is hard to fancy despite back-to-back wins in his last two starts; he has experience of today's going, but the weight and a significant ratings gap make his task a stiff one.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Heyzoom silks
Heyzoom
Age 3 · 9-0
3-214
90
100
95
3
9-0
13/8 5/4 3/2
Showed a good mix of form in his last four starts — a winner two starts back and placed before the win — but 79 days off the track is a query, and a fourth last time out tempers confidence despite having experience of today's trip and conditions.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

7
Turty Tree silks
Turty Tree
Age 3 · 9-0
334126
90
84
96
3
9-0
14/1 16/1 10/1
Turty Tree ran to a fine second two starts back and was a winner three starts back, showing he can be competitive at this level, and with experience of today's distance and going in his favour, he shapes as a genuine threat; the main concern is that sixth last time out.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Cape Fear silks
Cape Fear
Age 3 · 8-9
321321
85
73
90
3
8-9
20/1 FCST 14/1
Cape Fear arrives on the back of a win last time out and shows fair recent consistency, but ranked seventh of nine on our figures he faces a stiff ask here, and with a speed rating of 80 the form ceiling looks modest despite experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Lord d'Or silks
Lord d'Or
Age 3 · 8-5
6-2222
81
72
86
3
8-5
33/1 22/1 20/1
Lord d'Or has been winless in his last five starts, with four runner-up finishes unable to convert, and a rating of 86 ranks him eighth of nine here, making him hard to fancy despite the fitness edge of a 15-day turnaround and experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Archers Bay 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 8.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 open 6.00 4/1 Bet365
2 Guildmaster 11/1 open 17.00 11/1 open 17.00 8/1 open 15.00 8/1 open 15.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 11/1 Bet365
3 Into The Light 11/1 open 13.00 10/1 10/1 10/1 10/1 open 12.00 10/1 open 12.00 11/1 Bet365
4 Decade Of Time 7/1 7/1 open 10.00 7/1 7/1 13/2 13/2 open 8.00 7/1 Bet365
5 Ancestor 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 7.00 6/1 6/1 13/2 Bet365
6 Heyzoom 13/8 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.25 6/4 open 2.25 6/4 open 2.25 7/4 open 2.38 15/8 open 2.38 15/8 Betfred
7 Turty Tree 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 14/1 Bet365
8 Cape Fear 20/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 21.00 14/1 14/1 18/1 open 17.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Paddy Power
9 Lord d'Or 33/1 35/1 open 23.00 20/1 open 41.00 20/1 open 41.00 22/1 open 34.00 28/1 open 34.00 35/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Heyzoom

Speculative

Heyzoom owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (93). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

13/8 Owen Burrows Saffie Osborne
69% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Archers Bay

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

4/1 · Marco Botti
✓ Value Signal

Lord d'Or

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Andrew Balding
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
93 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.9 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.0 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.8 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Heyzoom
57.5 13/8
2 1. Archers Bay
55.9 4/1
3 4. Decade Of Time
55.4 7/1
4 5. Ancestor
53.8 13/2
5 3. Into The Light
48.9 11/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Archers Bay
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 3 · 9-0
13/8
★★★★☆ SR 100 🐾

Favourable weight of 9-0 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 3 · 9-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-2
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-5
7/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 91 🐾

SR 91 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
11/1
★★★☆☆ SR 88 🐾

SR 88 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-0
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 8-9
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Archers Bay
Confidence: Speculative

Archers Bay (SR 100, 9/2) shares the field's joint-highest SR with Heyzoom but carries a 9lb weight advantage over that rival (9-9 vs 9-0 is actually 9lb lighter in terms of form book parity — wait, Archers Bay carries 9-9 vs Heyzoom's 9-0, so Heyzoom is 9lb lighter). The critical swing here is the market: Archers Bay has steamed in 13% while Heyzoom has drifted 6% — smart money is clearly moving away from the jolly and onto Archers Bay at 9/2. Archers Bay also brings course form (W1P1 at Ascot) that no other runner can match, and Marco Botti's 16% strike rate with a market mover is a reliable combination. The class rise (↑1) and +7 mark rise are noted concerns, but the Ascot course knowledge and market confidence outweigh them at the price. Each-way alternative: Heyzoom. Main danger: Heyzoom — Heyzoom shares SR 100 and is the clear market favourite at 11/8 — despite a 6% drift it remains heavily supported, and Owen Burrows (18% strike rate) with Saffie Osborne is a competitive booking; if the drift is just routine profit-taking, the class-level evidence still points to this horse as the one to beat.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form reads -13941: that '1' is buried amid defeats and the most recent run (4th) suggests no upward trajectory into a +7 mark rise and class step up simultaneously.
  • Heyzoom (joint SR 100, 4-star rating vs Archers Bay's 3-star) carries 9lb less and has only drifted 6% — marginal drift for the favourite, not a collapse that signals smart money abandoning it.
  • Pat Dobbs (15% strike rate, 285 rides) is notably weaker in the saddle than Heyzoom's Saffie Osborne pairing with Owen Burrows (18% yard) at a track where weight and jockey quality matter on the stif…
  • The +7 mark rise combined with a class rise (↑1) at Ascot's stiff 1f home straight is a double penalty — Archers Bay's single course win may have come at a lower grade where rivals were inferior.
Shortlist Archers Bay, Heyzoom, Decade Of Time, Into The Light
Each-way: Heyzoom Danger: Heyzoom

🗺 The Course Class 2

1m3f211y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
9 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade