← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Silent Pool Gin "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Gavriel
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/4 SP 5/2 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
Gavriel (SR 98, 5/4) leads the field on ability despite stepping up a class, and the Gosden yard's 25% strike rate is the strongest trainer stat in the race. The 7% market shortening confirms stable confidence, and Robert Havlin is a trusted Gosden deputy. Carrying 9-9, Gavriel has a 5lb weight advantage over Law Court (SR 101, 9-1) — the only horse rated higher — which partially compensates for that SR gap and the class rise. The form reads 41-2 (last run a second, prior run a win), showing progressive consistency for a three-year-old that has scope to improve at this trip. Each-way alternative: Law Court. Main danger: Law Court — Law Court (SR 101) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-1, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and a form line of 221292 showing consistent placed efforts — his biggest threat is the +5 mark increase, but on going he handles he could outrun his 9/2 price.
Full result
Winner: Gavriel (GB) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Gavriel Fox #1 5/4
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2
Balzac 14/1
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3
Lion of Alba Fox #3 11/2
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4
Kahin 10/3
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5
Now Maybe 20/1
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6
Law Court Fox #2 9/2
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—
Dark Whisper 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Gavriel 5/4 SP 5/2 🏆 WON
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2
Law Court 9/2 6TH
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3
Lion of Alba 5/1 🥉 3RD