Ascot 15:25 RESULTED
Class 3 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Silent Pool Gin "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race)

Silent Pool Gin "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race) · 1m1f212y

Official Result

Silent Pool Gin "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Won No More Than One Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Gavriel (GB) Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden
    5/2
  2. Second Balzac (GER)
    12/1
  3. 5/1
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Settled
  • 7 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Gavriel silks
Gavriel
Age 3 · 9-9
41-2
95
98
89
3
9-9
5/4
Ran well to finish second last time out and a winner two starts back, Gavriel brings solid recent form and going experience to the table, though his rating of 89 against stronger-rated rivals and a hefty 135 lb to carry are the key questions here.
AI verdict

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Balzac silks
Balzac
Age 3 · 9-9
-13300
95
79
102
3
9-9
14/1 12/1 10/1
Balzac showed his best when winning and posting back-to-back thirds earlier in this sequence, though unplaced in his last two, and having run over today's trip and going he returns from a 77-day break, carrying 135 lb from stall one.
AI verdict

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

3
Lion of Alba silks
Lion of Alba
Age 3 · 9-4
1-7477
90
93
105
3
9-4
11/2 FCST 5/1
Rated highest in the field at 105, Lion of Alba brings both distance and going experience to bear here, and his win five starts back shows he can deliver when conditions align; the concern is a run of three subsequent sevenths in his last four starts.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Law Court silks
Law Court
Age 3 · 9-1
221292
87
101
98
3
9-1
9/2 FCST 4/1
Runner-up on his latest start, including a win four starts back, Law Court arrives on a near-perfect 23-day turnaround with experience of today's trip and going; the main concern is a trainer who has drawn a blank in 45 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Dark Whisper silks
Dark Whisper
Age 3 · 8-13
2310
85
78
91
3
8-13
18/1 14/1 18/1
Dark Whisper won two starts back and was third three starts back, showing consistent recent form, and has experience of today's trip and conditions; the main concern is that unplaced effort last time out.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Now Maybe silks
Now Maybe
Age 3 · 8-11
82-362
83
78
89
3
8-11
20/1 20/1 18/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked sixth of seven on our figures, Now Maybe is hard to fancy at the weights; 85 days off adds a fitness question, though he has run over today's trip and going before, and his two placed efforts in recent starts offer the faintest encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Kahin silks
Kahin
Age 3 · 8-10
74212
82
94
88
3
8-10
10/3 2/1 3/1
Ranked last on our figures and a long way below the top-rated runner on speed ratings, Kahin is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back and a runner-up effort last time out; 57 days off is a fitness query too, though he has run over today's trip and carries a manageable 122 lb.
AI verdict

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Gavriel 5/4 open 2.38 5/4 11/8 11/8 11/8 open 2.75 11/8 11/8 Coral
2 Balzac 14/1 14/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 13.00 16/1 open 15.00 14/1 open 13.00 16/1 William Hill
3 Lion of Alba 11/2 open 8.00 11/2 open 9.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 11/2 Bet365
4 Law Court 9/2 open 5.00 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 open 6.00 4/1 open 5.50 9/2 Bet365
5 Dark Whisper 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 21.00 18/1 Bet365
6 Now Maybe 20/1 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 18/1 open 23.00 20/1 Bet365
7 Kahin 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 3.00 10/3 open 3.50 10/3 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 3/1 open 3.50 10/3 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Law Court

Speculative

Law Court owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/2 Richard Hannon Faleh Bughanaim
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Gavriel

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/4 · John & Thady Gosden
✓ Value Signal

Now Maybe

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

20/1 · George Baker
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +21.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
79 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.4 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.7 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.3 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Law Court
55.2 9/2
2 1. Gavriel
54.5 5/4
3 3. Lion of Alba
53.8 11/2
4 7. Kahin
52.5 10/3
5 2. Balzac
46.5 14/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Gavriel
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
5/4
★★★☆☆ SR 98 🐾

SR 98 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 8-10
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 94 🐾

SR 94 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-1
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 101 🐾

SR 101 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 3 · 9-4
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

5
Age 3 · 8-13
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 3 · 8-11
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Gavriel
Confidence: Speculative

Gavriel (SR 98, 5/4) leads the field on ability despite stepping up a class, and the Gosden yard's 25% strike rate is the strongest trainer stat in the race. The 7% market shortening confirms stable confidence, and Robert Havlin is a trusted Gosden deputy. Carrying 9-9, Gavriel has a 5lb weight advantage over Law Court (SR 101, 9-1) — the only horse rated higher — which partially compensates for that SR gap and the class rise. The form reads 41-2 (last run a second, prior run a win), showing progressive consistency for a three-year-old that has scope to improve at this trip. Each-way alternative: Law Court. Main danger: Law Court — Law Court (SR 101) is the highest-rated horse in the field, carries only 9-1, has a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and a form line of 221292 showing consistent placed efforts — his biggest threat is the +5 mark increase, but on going he handles he could outrun his 9/2 price.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Law Court (SR 101) holds a 3-point ratings superiority over Gavriel and has run six times this season versus Gavriel's three, showing far greater race fitness and racecraft with a consistent 221292 s…
  • Kahin (SR 94) is trained by Haggas (21% strike rate, comparable to Gosden) with Cieren Fallon aboard at 19% — yet has drifted 40% in the market, suggesting the stable may not be confident, which coul…
  • Robert Havlin's 14% strike rate is modest; he is a deputy rather than the Gosden stable's first-choice jockey, and at a high-profile Ascot Saturday meeting the trainer's premier runners typically att…
  • Gavriel's form reads 41-2 — the '4' and '1' are separated by a significant gap, and the last-run second was not a win; at this class rise, a horse yet to string two consecutive victories together is…
Shortlist Gavriel, Law Court, Lion of Alba
Each-way: Law Court Danger: Law Court

🗺 The Course Class 3

1m1f212y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
7 Confirmed runners
Ascot Track and setting
Class 3 Race grade