← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Betfair Be Friendly Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Poatan
SPECULATIVE Advised 6/1 SP 9/1 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Poatan (SR:97, 6/1, 9-11) is the standout pick underpinned by a 35% market move inward — the strongest steaming in the field — combined with the highest SR among genuinely competitive runners. Carrying 9-11 is a weight consideration, but at only three years old on a Class 2 sprint trip he retains a progressive profile, and his DistFit:+ at 5f is crucial on heavy ground where sectional times compress and stamina matters. George Scott's 18% strike rate is the joint-best in the field among handlers with a serious book of runners, and David Egan at 14% is a capable partner. The form string 513-37 isn't flashy but his last run (7) came off a 17-day break and the dramatic market support since suggests connections are bullish about today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Trilby. Main danger: Trilby — Trilby (SR:99, 11/4, Course:W1P3, Mkt:in12%) is the highest-rated horse in the field with genuine Haydock course form — one win and three places here — and despite stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a MarkMv:+3 penalty, PJ McDonald's booking and the course specialism make it the most likely horse to deny Poatan.
Full result
Winner: Poatan (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
-
1
Poatan Fox #1 11/2
-
2
Trilby Fox #2 5/2
-
3
Elara May 10/1
-
4
Jer Batt Fox #3 4/1
-
5
Marching Mac 12/1
-
6
Advertised 9/1
-
7
Black Star Boy 12/1
-
8
Sturlasson 25/1
-
9
Arklow Lad Fox #4 13/2
-
—
Toyotomi -
Top 4 — how each finished
-
1
-
2
-
3
-
4