Haydock 16:15 RESULTED
Class 2 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Betfair Be Friendly Handicap Stakes

Betfair Be Friendly Handicap Stakes · 0m5f0y

Official Result

Betfair Be Friendly Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Poatan (IRE) David Egan · George Scott
    9/1
  2. Second Trilby (GB)
    2/1F
  3. 14/1
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13:25–17:25 · 8 races

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13:30–17:30 · 8 races

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13:40–17:10 · 7 races

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16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Poatan silks
Poatan
Age 3 · 9-11
513-37
97
97
99
3
9-11
11/2 15/2 9/2
Consecutive thirds two and three starts back show Poatan in consistent form, and he lines up here just 17 days fresh from his latest outing, fit and ready; drawn four carrying 137 lb, he has run over today's trip and looks the most compelling overall profile in the race.
AI verdict

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Toyotomi silks
Toyotomi
Age 5 · 9-9
563106
94
75
96
5
9-9
SP FCST 13/2
Toyotomi landed a win three starts back and was third four starts back, showing clear ability at this level, and he arrives fresh on six days' rest carrying 135 lb from stall six with experience over today's trip; the risk is that his last two runs have both disappointed.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but - reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Arklow Lad silks
Arklow Lad
Age 4 · 9-7
131510
92
93
96
4
9-7
13/2 6/1 13/2
Arklow Lad arrives here on the back of three wins in his last six starts, including a victory two runs back, and he has experience over today's trip; the main concern is that unplaced effort last time out, which he must put behind him.
AI verdict

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Advertised silks
Advertised
Age 3 · 9-7
4-2902
93
80
100
3
9-7
9/1 6/1 8/1
Advertised has been placed twice in his last five starts, including a second last time out just 15 days ago, and has run over today's trip, making him a serious threat on a rating of 100; the risk is that he remains winless in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Black Star Boy silks
Black Star Boy
Age 3 · 9-4
8-1600
90
77
93
3
9-4
12/1 16/1 11/1
Back from a 17-day break and drawn in stall one carrying 130 lb, Black Star Boy has experience over today's trip and a win in his last five starts to his name, though two consecutive unplaced efforts since that success give genuine cause for caution.
AI verdict

SR 77 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Trilby silks
Trilby
Age 6 · 9-3
131041
88
99
92
6
9-3
5/2 3/1 9/4
Trilby won last time out and has experience of today's trip and going, but a fourth two starts back and an unplaced run three starts back temper enthusiasm; carrying 129 lb from stall five, he rates a lively each-way player on a rating of 92.
AI verdict

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Sturlasson silks
Sturlasson
Age 5 · 9-1
-52940
86
61
90
5
9-1
25/1 16/1 25/1
Winless in his last five starts, Sturlasson was unplaced most recently and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, making him hard to fancy despite the experience over today's distance and going and a return after just 15 days.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

8
Marching Mac silks
Marching Mac
Age 5 · 8-12
404314
83
83
85
5
8-12
12/1 15/2 10/1
Ranked bottom of this field on our figures and rated just 85, Marching Mac has managed one win in his last six starts, and a quick turnaround after seven days gives little cause for optimism, though he has run over today's trip and going before and returns from stall three.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Elara May silks
Elara May
Age 3 · 8-11
14-842
83
78
87
3
8-11
10/1 11/2 9/1
Ranked bottom but one on our figures and her speed rating gives little encouragement, Elara May does at least bring strong recent fitness having run just six days ago, and she was second last time out — though finding improvement enough to trouble the field from this position looks a tough ask.
AI verdict

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Jer Batt silks
Jer Batt
Age 6 · 8-9
-73345
80
95
93
6
8-9
4/1 9/2 7/2
Winless in his last five starts, Jer Batt does boast back-to-back thirds three and four starts back, yet a fifth last time out and the burden of 121 lb from stall 10 are the checks on his chance, even if he has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 93 suggests he merits respect.
AI verdict

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Poatan 11/2 open 9.50 5/1 open 11.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 5/1 open 10.00 9/2 open 8.50 11/2 Bet365
2 Toyotomi 13/2 7/1 open 7.50 13/2 13/2 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 7/1 Paddy Power
3 Arklow Lad 13/2 open 7.00 13/2 open 8.00 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 Bet365
4 Advertised 9/1 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.00 17/2 open 7.50 9/1 Bet365
5 Black Star Boy 12/1 open 17.00 12/1 open 21.00 14/1 open 19.00 14/1 open 19.00 12/1 open 19.00 11/1 open 19.00 14/1 Coral
6 Trilby 5/2 open 4.50 11/4 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.33 9/4 open 4.00 11/4 Paddy Power
7 Sturlasson 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 28/1 Paddy Power
8 Marching Mac 12/1 open 8.50 11/1 open 9.00 10/1 open 8.50 10/1 open 8.50 12/1 open 8.50 14/1 open 9.00 14/1 Betfred
9 Elara May 10/1 open 8.00 9/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 Coral
10 Jer Batt 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 7.00 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 4/1 open 6.50 7/2 open 5.50 4/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Jer Batt

Speculative

Jer Batt owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (53) and market confidence (82). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

4/1 David & Nicola Barron Ray Dawson
66% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Trilby

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/2 · Sam England
✓ Value Signal

Sturlasson

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · John Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +20.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
82 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +17.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.1 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
46 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.7 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
62 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.2 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
54 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 10. Jer Batt
57.5 4/1
2 6. Trilby
56.8 5/2
3 1. Poatan
56.6 11/2
4 3. Arklow Lad
55.4 13/2
5 4. Advertised
51.6 9/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Poatan
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

6
Age 6 · 9-3
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 99 🐾

SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

10
Age 6 · 8-9
4/1
★★★☆☆ SR 95 🐾

SR 95 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 3 · 9-11
11/2
★★★☆☆ SR 97 🐾

SR 97 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 4 · 9-7
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 93 🐾

SR 93 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 3 · 9-7
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 3 · 8-11
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 78 🐾

SR 78 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 3 · 9-4
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 5 · 8-12
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Poatan
Confidence: Speculative

Poatan (SR:97, 6/1, 9-11) is the standout pick underpinned by a 35% market move inward — the strongest steaming in the field — combined with the highest SR among genuinely competitive runners. Carrying 9-11 is a weight consideration, but at only three years old on a Class 2 sprint trip he retains a progressive profile, and his DistFit:+ at 5f is crucial on heavy ground where sectional times compress and stamina matters. George Scott's 18% strike rate is the joint-best in the field among handlers with a serious book of runners, and David Egan at 14% is a capable partner. The form string 513-37 isn't flashy but his last run (7) came off a 17-day break and the dramatic market support since suggests connections are bullish about today's conditions. Each-way alternative: Trilby. Main danger: Trilby — Trilby (SR:99, 11/4, Course:W1P3, Mkt:in12%) is the highest-rated horse in the field with genuine Haydock course form — one win and three places here — and despite stepping up in class (ClassMv:↑1) and a MarkMv:+3 penalty, PJ McDonald's booking and the course specialism make it the most likely horse to deny Poatan.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Poatan's last run was a 7th place finish just 17 days ago — he hasn't bounced back from that poor effort and has shown no form reversal evidence since, making the market support speculative.
  • Carrying 9-11 is the joint-heaviest weight in the field; on heavy Haydock ground over 5f where every pound compounds, this is a concrete burden against rivals carrying up to 14lb less.
  • Trilby (SR:99, 11/4 fav) holds a superior course record (W1P3 at this track), higher SR, fresher 7-day prep, and is also market-backed — Poatan is directly outclassed by the favourite on course-speci…
  • Form string 513-37 shows only one win in six outings and a downward trajectory; the '3' two runs ago came at a lower level, so today's Class 2 sprint represents a class environment his recent efforts…
Shortlist Poatan, Trilby, Jer Batt, Arklow Lad
Each-way: Trilby Danger: Trilby

🗺 The Course Class 2

0m5f0y Distance to cover
Heavy Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Haydock Track and setting
Class 2 Race grade