← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
William Hill September Stakes (Group 3)
Mr Fox’s call
Constitution Hill
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Constitution Hill (SR:119, 10/3) brings the most compelling case despite the class rise (↑2). The market has taken serious note — shortened 23% from opening — and Nicky Henderson (24% strike rate, 150 runners) is the form trainer in the field. The 11 form (two consecutive wins, rightmost = last) is the strongest recent sequence of any runner, and Course:W1P1 at Kempton confirms he handles this track. Billy Loughnane (19%, 1841 runners) is a high-volume, high-strike-rate booking that signals connections' intent. At 10/3, the market is essentially pricing him as a general contender — our analysis sees him as more than that given trainer confidence, course form, and peak form string. Each-way alternative: Pride Of Arras. Main danger: Gethin — Gethin is the market's choice (evn, Mkt:in29% — the sharpest market move in the field) with Course:W1P1 at Kempton, and even if SR:109 looks workmanlike, the late money is emphatic and connections clearly believe the track and conditions suit.
Full result
Winner: Pride Of Arras (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Pride Of Arras Fox #2 5/1
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2
Gethin Fox #4 10/11
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3
Warrant Holder 13/2
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4
Constitution Hill Fox #1 7/2
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5
Dubai Future 28/1
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—
Tornado Alert Fox #3 7/2
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Almeric -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Constitution Hill 10/3 🏁 4TH
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2
Pride Of Arras 9/2 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
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3
Tornado Alert 7/2
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4
Gethin evn 🥈 2ND