William Hill September Stakes (Group 3) · 1m3f219y
SR 92 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Almeric | 16/1 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 18/1 | 16/1 | 18/1 William Hill |
| 1 Dubai Future | 28/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Constitution Hill | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 7/2 open 6.00 | 4/1 Coral |
| 4 Gethin | 10/11 open 2.75 | 10/11 open 2.88 | evn open 2.88 | evn open 2.88 | 10/11 open 2.88 | 5/6 open 2.75 | evn Coral |
| 5 Pride Of Arras | 5/1 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 9/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 5/1 open 7.50 | 11/2 William Hill |
| 6 Tornado Alert | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 open 3.75 | 7/2 open 3.50 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 7 Warrant Holder | 13/2 open 10.00 | 13/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Pride Of Arras owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (68) and market confidence (77). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 109 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Favourable weight of 9-7 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Constitution Hill (SR:119, 10/3) brings the most compelling case despite the class rise (↑2). The market has taken serious note — shortened 23% from opening — and Nicky Henderson (24% strike rate, 150 runners) is the form trainer in the field. The 11 form (two consecutive wins, rightmost = last) is the strongest recent sequence of any runner, and Course:W1P1 at Kempton confirms he handles this track. Billy Loughnane (19%, 1841 runners) is a high-volume, high-strike-rate booking that signals connections' intent. At 10/3, the market is essentially pricing him as a general contender — our analysis sees him as more than that given trainer confidence, course form, and peak form string. Each-way alternative: Pride Of Arras. Main danger: Gethin — Gethin is the market's choice (evn, Mkt:in29% — the sharpest market move in the field) with Course:W1P1 at Kempton, and even if SR:109 looks workmanlike, the late money is emphatic and connections clearly believe the track and conditions suit.