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William Hill Sirenia Stakes (Group 3)

15:20 Kempton (AW) Sat 05 Sep 2026 6f Class 1 Good to Soft 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Tawakal silks

Tawakal

SPECULATIVE Advised 6/4 Est. 35%

5TH

Mr Fox says

Tawakal (SR 96, 6/4) is the Crisford yard's #1 runner — confirmed by the significantly superior jockey booking (Jack Mitchell over Rob Hornby on Social Symbol) and the explosive market support of 33% inward move. The Form:12 shows a horse who has won and placed in two starts and is stepping up three class tiers with connections confident enough to back it accordingly. Within the Crisford pair, Social Symbol (SR 89, drifted 40%) is clearly the second string. While Tawakal's SR of 96 is below the top SR horses in the field, this is a juvenile sprint Group 3 where rapid improvement is expected and the market intelligence here is unusually strong — a 33% steam in a nine-runner field is not noise. Moonrise (SR 111) is the main danger and a more proven commodity, but the meaningful drift of 19% on a horse with an established form profile suggests the market has found a reason to prefer Tawakal. Each-way alternative: Moonrise. Main danger: Moonrise — Moonrise (SR 111, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a tidy Form:121, a course win at Kempton, and DistFit:+ at 6f — the strongest proven profile in the race, and despite drifting 19% it remains the most credible form-based alternative.

Verify· #16235

Full result

Winner: Moonrise (IRE) at SP 11/4. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Moonrise silks Moonrise Fox #2 Andrew Balding · Oisin Murphy 3/1
  2. 2 Shimmering Sun silks Shimmering Sun Harry Eustace · Daniel Muscutt 20/1
  3. 3 Social Symbol silks Social Symbol Simon & Ed Crisford · Rob Hornby 14/1
  4. 4 Nicely silks Nicely Kevin Philippart De Foy · Rowan Scott 22/1
  5. 5 Tawakal silks Tawakal Fox #1 Simon & Ed Crisford · Jack Mitchell 11/8
  6. 6 Bated Benevolence silks Bated Benevolence Marco Botti · Benoit de la Sayette 33/1
  7. 7 Adaay of Scarlett silks Adaay of Scarlett Fox #3 Hugo Palmer · Rossa Ryan 4/1
  8. 8 Efsixteen silks Efsixteen George Scott · Callum Rodriguez 11/1
  9. — Agamemnon silks Agamemnon Richard Hughes · Finley Marsh 15/2
  10. — Evenfall silks Evenfall George Boughey · Billy Loughnane -

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Tawakal silks Tawakal 6/4 5TH
  2. 2 Moonrise silks Moonrise 7/2 SP 11/4 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Adaay of Scarlett silks Adaay of Scarlett 4/1 7TH