Moonrise
Live signalMoonrise owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
William Hill Sirenia Stakes (Group 3) · 6f
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 75 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 77 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Evenfall | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Adaay of Scarlett | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 4/1 open 4.50 | 9/2 open 4.50 | 9/2 Betfred |
| 2 Agamemnon | 15/2 open 6.50 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 8/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 8/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Moonrise | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.25 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Social Symbol | 14/1 open 9.50 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 5 Tawakal | 11/8 open 4.33 | 11/8 open 3.50 | 6/4 open 4.00 | 6/4 open 4.00 | 11/8 open 4.33 | 6/4 open 3.75 | 6/4 Coral |
| 6 Bated Benevolence | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 | 33/1 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 open 41.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Efsixteen | 11/1 open 11.00 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 | 11/1 open 13.00 | 11/1 | 11/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Nicely | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Shimmering Sun | 20/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 open 21.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 17.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Moonrise owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (62) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 111 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 96 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 89 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 89 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No drifters in this race.
Tawakal (SR 96, 6/4) is the Crisford yard's #1 runner — confirmed by the significantly superior jockey booking (Jack Mitchell over Rob Hornby on Social Symbol) and the explosive market support of 33% inward move. The Form:12 shows a horse who has won and placed in two starts and is stepping up three class tiers with connections confident enough to back it accordingly. Within the Crisford pair, Social Symbol (SR 89, drifted 40%) is clearly the second string. While Tawakal's SR of 96 is below the top SR horses in the field, this is a juvenile sprint Group 3 where rapid improvement is expected and the market intelligence here is unusually strong — a 33% steam in a nine-runner field is not noise. Moonrise (SR 111) is the main danger and a more proven commodity, but the meaningful drift of 19% on a horse with an established form profile suggests the market has found a reason to prefer Tawakal. Each-way alternative: Moonrise. Main danger: Moonrise — Moonrise (SR 111, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field with a tidy Form:121, a course win at Kempton, and DistFit:+ at 6f — the strongest proven profile in the race, and despite drifting 19% it remains the most credible form-based alternative.