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William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Naval Tribute
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 SP 5/2 Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Naval Tribute (SR:87, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only runner with confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) in a 1m7f218y contest — a crucial edge when several rivals are unproven at this marathon trip. The market has shortened 11% since opening, Rossa Ryan (17% strike rate, 1,496 career rides) is a significant booking, and the course form (W1P1 at Kempton AW) adds further confidence. The visor is retained from the last winning run, and the form string 617121 shows a horse peaking — the latest '1' came at the same class (ClassMv:=). The +6 mark rise is the one caution, but the 6lb weight advantage over An Bradan Feasa (9-10 vs 10-3 is actually Naval Tribute carrying more, but the SR edge of 4 points over the next best rivals at lighter weights helps justify the case), and the market steam makes this a clear vote. Each-way alternative: Flash Kozo. Main danger: Flash Kozo — Flash Kozo (SR:85, 5/2) has shortened 9% in the market, carries a featherweight 8-12, and the '2' on the end of the form string suggests a horse finishing strongly last time — at the lowest weight in the field, any stamina reserves at this marathon trip could allow it to close late.
Full result
Winner: Naval Tribute (GB) at SP 5/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Naval Tribute Fox #1 2/1
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2
Flash Kozo Fox #2 9/4
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3
Campeona Fox #4 9/2
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4
An Bradan Feasa Fox #3 7/2
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5
Barenboim 28/1
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6
Betelgeuse 20/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4