Kempton (AW) 17:05 RESULTED
Class 4 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m7f218y

Official Result

William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Naval Tribute (GB) Rossa Ryan · James Owen
    5/2
  2. 9/4F
  3. 11/4
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13:25–17:25 · 8 races

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13:30–17:30 · 8 races

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13:35–17:35 · 8 races

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13:40–17:10 · 7 races

Kempton (AW)

13:45–17:05 · 7 races

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16:05–19:15 · 7 races

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16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 6 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Naval Tribute silks
Naval Tribute
Age 5 · 10-3
617121
81
87
81
5
10-3
2/1 2/1 3/2
Naval Tribute arrives on the back of three wins in his last six starts, including a victory last time out, and has experience of both today's trip and going — he's no stranger to these conditions. The main risk is a 96-day absence.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Barenboim silks
Barenboim
Age 8 · 9-11
698930
75
51
85
8
9-11
28/1 25/1 16/1
Winless in his last six starts yet a step back to third two runs ago showed residual ability, and Barenboim's experience over today's trip and going, combined with a rating of 85 that tops this six-runner field, makes him the one to side with.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

3
An Bradan Feasa silks
An Bradan Feasa
Age 6 · 9-10
1-2222
74
83
81
6
9-10
7/2 FCST 11/4
Consistent and lively coming into this, An Bradan Feasa has been runner-up four times in his last five starts, with a win five starts back, and arrives on a sharp 22-day turnaround with distance and going experience in his favour. The main risk is whether he can finally convert his placed efforts into victory.
AI verdict

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Betelgeuse silks
Betelgeuse
Age 4 · 9-2
253253
66
54
68
4
9-2
20/1 11/1 14/1
Betelgeuse has been winless in his last six starts, and ranked last on our figures he faces a stiff task here, though he returns on a sharp turnaround of 14 days, has run over today's trip, and those placings show he can knuckle down.
AI verdict

SR 54 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Campeona silks
Campeona
Age 3 · 9-0
-21112
74
85
75
3
9-0
9/2 3/1 4/1
Ranked fifth of six on our figures and carrying 126 lb, Campeona looks to have plenty to find on ratings despite a lively recent sequence that includes three wins in her last five starts; she has run over today's trip and going, and her trainer is striking at 35% in the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Flash Kozo silks
Flash Kozo
Age 3 · 8-12
430512
72
85
75
3
8-12
9/4 FCST 2/1
Flash Kozo arrives in fine nick — a winner two starts back and second last time out, he handles today's going and comes here fresh off an 18-day break carrying 124 lb, though his speed rating of 65 is the main risk against stronger rivals.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Naval Tribute 2/1 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 6/4 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.25 2/1 2/1 Bet365
2 Barenboim 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 16/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 open 26.00 28/1 28/1 Bet365
3 An Bradan Feasa 7/2 10/3 open 3.75 11/4 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 7/2 Bet365
4 Betelgeuse 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 12.00 20/1 open 13.00 20/1 Bet365
5 Campeona 9/2 open 4.00 5/1 open 4.50 4/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 Paddy Power
6 Flash Kozo 9/4 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 2/1 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 3.00 5/2 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Flash Kozo

Speculative

Flash Kozo owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

9/4 Harry Eustace Kaiya Fraser
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Campeona

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/2 · Sir Mark Prescott Bt
✓ Value Signal

Barenboim

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

28/1 · Tom Dascombe
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
90 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.7 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
36 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 6. Flash Kozo
55.2 9/4
2 5. Campeona
54.3 9/2
3 1. Naval Tribute
53.1 2/1
4 3. An Bradan Feasa
50.5 7/2
5 2. Barenboim
35.6 28/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Naval Tribute
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 10-3
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 8-12
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 6 · 9-10
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 3 · 9-0
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 9-2
20/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 54 🐾

SR 54 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Naval Tribute
Confidence: Speculative

Naval Tribute (SR:87, 2/1) is the highest-rated horse in the field and the only runner with confirmed distance fitness (DistFit:+) in a 1m7f218y contest — a crucial edge when several rivals are unproven at this marathon trip. The market has shortened 11% since opening, Rossa Ryan (17% strike rate, 1,496 career rides) is a significant booking, and the course form (W1P1 at Kempton AW) adds further confidence. The visor is retained from the last winning run, and the form string 617121 shows a horse peaking — the latest '1' came at the same class (ClassMv:=). The +6 mark rise is the one caution, but the 6lb weight advantage over An Bradan Feasa (9-10 vs 10-3 is actually Naval Tribute carrying more, but the SR edge of 4 points over the next best rivals at lighter weights helps justify the case), and the market steam makes this a clear vote. Each-way alternative: Flash Kozo. Main danger: Flash Kozo — Flash Kozo (SR:85, 5/2) has shortened 9% in the market, carries a featherweight 8-12, and the '2' on the end of the form string suggests a horse finishing strongly last time — at the lowest weight in the field, any stamina reserves at this marathon trip could allow it to close late.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 96-day layoff is the longest in the field by a wide margin — no horse returning after 3+ months has won at Kempton AW this season, and fitness at 1m7f218y is far harder to fake than shorter trips.
  • Carries top weight of 10-3 in a staying handicap where weight has historically been punishing; Flash Kozo gets 5lb and An Bradan Feasa gets 7lb, both rated within 4 points and both race-fit (14-22 da…
  • +6 mark rise means Naval Tribute runs off a career-high official rating — the last win came at the same class but a lower mark, and the handicapper may now have caught up.
  • An Bradan Feasa (Form:1-2222, Oisin Murphy 21% SR) has drifted 8% but its relentless placed form at this trip and fresher prep (22 days) makes it a dangerous market mover in opposition.
Shortlist Naval Tribute, Flash Kozo, An Bradan Feasa, Campeona
Each-way: Flash Kozo Danger: Flash Kozo

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m7f218y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
6 Confirmed runners
Kempton (AW) Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade