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19:00 Newcastle (AW) Sat 05 Sep 2026 6f Class 5 Good 14 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Riley Rocks

SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%

6TH

Mr Fox says

Riley Rocks (SR:73, 7/2) carries the joint-highest SR in the field yet is on a mark 5lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-5), making this a favourable handicap opportunity. The eye-catching market move — steaming in 25% from opening price — is the strongest market signal in the entire field and suggests informed confidence. Course form of W1P1 at Newcastle AW confirms the track suits, and GoingFit:+ validates the good ground. Trainer Dylan Cunha (10% SR) and jockey Sam James (14%, 569 rides) are a reliable combination, and the form string 160404 contains a recent win at this level (ClassMv:=), so the horse is proven in this grade. Each-way alternative: Celtic Arrow. Main danger: Celtic Arrow — Celtic Arrow (SR:72, 7/1) has steamed in 42% — the biggest market move in the race — carries a light 9-4 with two places at Newcastle AW (Course:W0P2), and trainer Julie Camacho (10%) has a strong AW record; that combination of weight advantage and extreme market support makes it the most likely horse to deny Riley Rocks.

Verify· #16357

Full result

Winner: Storm Esme (GB) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.