Newcastle (AW) 19:00 RESULTED
Class 5 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes

Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes · 6f

Official Result

Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap Stakes

Confirmed
  1. Winner Storm Esme (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby
    9/1
  2. 9/1
  3. 7/2J
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13:25–17:25 · 8 races

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13:30–17:30 · 8 races

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13:35–17:35 · 8 races

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13:40–17:10 · 7 races

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13:45–17:05 · 7 races

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16:05–19:15 · 7 races

Newcastle (AW)

16:10–20:30 · 9 races

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Settled
  • 14 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Great Profit silks
Great Profit
Age 3 · 9-9
-82221
70
77
69
3
9-9
7/2 5/2 7/2
Great Profit won last time out and has twice finished runner-up in recent starts, so he arrives in solid nick after 29 days off; carrying 135 lb from stall 10 with our rating a touch below his official mark, he faces a stiff ask to dominate again.
AI verdict

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Riley Rocks silks
Riley Rocks
Age 3 · 9-9
160404
70
73
73
3
9-9
7/2 FCST 10/3
Riley Rocks won six starts back but has managed only a fourth in his two most recent placings amid a patchy recent spell; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 21 days between runs suggests he arrives fresh, though 135 lb is a stiff weight to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
March Ahead silks
March Ahead
Age 3 · 9-9
6184-5
70
51
73
3
9-9
20/1 14/1 20/1
March Ahead shaped with promise when winning four starts back, and having run over today's trip she is not without claims here, though connections will be hoping a 101-day break has freshened her up after a couple of below-par efforts since.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

4
Sea Her Excel silks
Sea Her Excel
Age 3 · 9-6
031513
67
72
70
3
9-6
12/1 4/1 12/1
Third last time out after winning two starts back, Sea Her Excel arrives on a quick 16-day turnaround with both distance and going experience in her favour, though a top weight of 132 lb from stall 14 gives the assessor plenty to consider.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Record Day silks
Record Day
Age 3 · 9-6
489378
67
55
67
3
9-6
10/1 12/1 10/1
Winless in his last six starts, with a best recent finish of third three starts back, Record Day has done little to inspire confidence, and a trainer strike-rate of just 5% in the last 14 days does him no favours either.
AI verdict

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

6
Comprador silks
Comprador
Age 3 · 9-6
335306
67
47
74
3
9-6
22/1 25/1 20/1
Comprador has shown a consistent knack for hitting the frame, with a third three starts back and a third five starts back in recent form, and he has experience over today's trip and conditions; the main risk is that his last two runs have disappointed, so a return to that earlier level is needed.
AI verdict

SR 47 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Believeinmenow silks
Believeinmenow
Age 3 · 9-5
227394
66
71
76
3
9-5
11/1 6/1 10/1
Believeinmenow ranks top of our assessments among these 14 rivals, with a ten-pound gap between our rating and his official mark hinting at untapped potential, and he has experience of today's trip and going; the chief concern is a trainer yet to land a winner in 22 attempts over the past fortnight.
AI verdict

SR 71 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Celtic Arrow silks
Celtic Arrow
Age 3 · 9-4
342250
65
72
68
3
9-4
6/1 12/1 6/1
Winless in her last six starts, Celtic Arrow does at least bring experience of today's trip and going, and two seconds in that sequence show she can mix it at this level; the unplaced effort last time and a mark of 65 are the checks here.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Perineighs silks
Perineighs
Age 3 · 9-3
443-09
64
41
66
3
9-3
33/1 16/1 28/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 12 of 14 on our figures, Perineighs is hard to fancy, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns after a 36-day break carrying 129 lb from stall 6.
AI verdict

SR 41 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

10
Showtown silks
Showtown
Age 3 · 9-3
204588
64
50
74
3
9-3
9/1 20/1 9/1
Ranked second of the 14-strong field on our ratings with a speed figure of 68, Showtown arrives on the back of a 25-day break looking fresh, has run over today's trip, and that lofty 129 lb burden from stall 13 is the chief concern for a gelding yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

11
Maximum Velocity silks
Maximum Velocity
Age 3 · 9-3
193256
64
60
64
3
9-3
12/1 10/1 12/1
Maximum Velocity has finished sixth and fifth in his last two starts and ranks 13th of 14 on our figures, making him hard to fancy at the weights despite carrying 129 lb from stall 11; he does have experience over today's trip and going, and a trainer in dire form at 0/22 over the last 14 days compounds the concern.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

12
Saxon Prince silks
Saxon Prince
Age 3 · 9-2
6-5260
63
53
63
3
9-2
25/1 16/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked last on our figures, Saxon Prince has been out of the frame in his two most recent outings and returns after 72 days off; experience over today's trip and going is about the best that can be said for him.
AI verdict

SR 53 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Dontwaste A Moment silks
Dontwaste A Moment
Age 3 · 9-2
5-0175
63
63
70
3
9-2
16/1 17/2 16/1
Dontwaste A Moment won three starts back but has since finished fifth and seventh in his last two, and 36 days off adds a fitness query; he has run over today's trip and going, carries 128 lb from stall one, and a rating of 70 puts him a fair way clear of his official figure of 63.
AI verdict

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

14
Storm Esme silks
Storm Esme
Age 3 · 9-0
708584
61
59
68
3
9-0
10/1
Winless in her last six starts, Storm Esme nonetheless steps back up to a trip and going she has experience of, and a fourth last time out hints at modest improvement; carrying 126 lb from stall five, her rating of 68 gives her something to find against the top-rated runners.
AI verdict

SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Great Profit 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 open 3.50 7/2 Bet365
2 Riley Rocks 7/2 open 10.00 7/2 open 7.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 10/3 7/2 Bet365
3 March Ahead 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 15.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 Bet365
4 Sea Her Excel 12/1 open 5.00 12/1 open 6.50 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 open 6.00 12/1 Bet365
5 Record Day 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 13.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 open 17.00 10/1 Bet365
6 Comprador 22/1 open 34.00 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 29.00 20/1 open 29.00 22/1 open 26.00 20/1 open 29.00 22/1 Bet365
7 Believeinmenow 11/1 open 7.00 10/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 11/1 open 8.00 12/1 open 8.00 12/1 Betfred
8 Celtic Arrow 6/1 open 17.00 6/1 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 6/1 open 13.00 13/2 Coral
9 Perineighs 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 26.00 33/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 open 23.00 33/1 open 23.00 40/1 William Hill
10 Showtown 9/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 10/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 9/1 open 21.00 10/1 Paddy Power
11 Maximum Velocity 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 open 12.00 12/1 Bet365
12 Saxon Prince 25/1 open 23.00 22/1 open 17.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 25/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 25/1 Bet365
13 Dontwaste A Moment 16/1 open 9.50 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 open 11.00 16/1 Bet365
14 Storm Esme 10/1 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 11/1 Paddy Power

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Celtic Arrow

Speculative

Celtic Arrow owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (40) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 Julie Camacho Tom Kiely-Marshall(5)
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Great Profit

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · W H Harrison
✓ Value Signal

Saxon Prince

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

25/1 · John & Sean Quinn
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.2 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
34 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.6 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 8. Celtic Arrow
51.5 6/1
2 1. Great Profit
50.7 7/2
3 2. Riley Rocks
48.9 7/2
4 7. Believeinmenow
45.8 11/1
5 4. Sea Her Excel
43.5 12/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Riley Rocks
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 3 · 9-9
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 77 🐾

SR 77 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
7/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 7/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 3 · 9-4
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 3 · 9-3
9/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 50 🐾

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

5
Age 3 · 9-6
10/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

14
Age 3 · 9-0
10/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 59 🐾

SR 59 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 3 · 9-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 71 🐾

SR 71 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Age 3 · 9-6
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

11
Age 3 · 9-3
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 3 · 9-2
16/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-9
20/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 51 🐾

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Riley Rocks
Confidence: Speculative

Riley Rocks (SR:73, 7/2) carries the joint-highest SR in the field yet is on a mark 5lb lower than its last win (MarkMv:-5), making this a favourable handicap opportunity. The eye-catching market move — steaming in 25% from opening price — is the strongest market signal in the entire field and suggests informed confidence. Course form of W1P1 at Newcastle AW confirms the track suits, and GoingFit:+ validates the good ground. Trainer Dylan Cunha (10% SR) and jockey Sam James (14%, 569 rides) are a reliable combination, and the form string 160404 contains a recent win at this level (ClassMv:=), so the horse is proven in this grade. Each-way alternative: Celtic Arrow. Main danger: Celtic Arrow — Celtic Arrow (SR:72, 7/1) has steamed in 42% — the biggest market move in the race — carries a light 9-4 with two places at Newcastle AW (Course:W0P2), and trainer Julie Camacho (10%) has a strong AW record; that combination of weight advantage and extreme market support makes it the most likely horse to deny Riley Rocks.

Case against 3 clamped
  • Celtic Arrow has steamed in 42% — a far stronger market move than Riley Rocks' 25% — yet holds a comparable SR (72) and is racing off a lighter weight (9-4 vs 9-9), making it the more compelling mark…
  • Riley Rocks' form string 160404 shows three fourth-place finishes in the last four runs; consistent near-misses at this class level suggest a horse that finds a way to get beaten when it matters.
  • Great Profit (SR:77, joint 7/2) carries the highest SR in the field and is on a hot run (-82221), with a trainer/jockey combination that has fired fresh (29 days); Riley Rocks faces a superior-rated…
Shortlist Riley Rocks, Celtic Arrow, Great Profit, Sea Her Excel
Each-way: Celtic Arrow Danger: Celtic Arrow

🗺 The Course Class 5

6f Distance to cover
Good Expected going
14 Confirmed runners
Newcastle (AW) Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade