← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Rich Ellis's 60th Vinyl Countdown Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Jackstell
SPECULATIVE Advised 13/2 SP 15/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Jackstell (SR:107, 13/2) is the standout selection on the strength of a dramatic 36% market move inward — the most significant steaming in the field — combined with a strong trainer strike rate from Jamie Snowden (25%, 415 runners) and an experienced jockey booking in Gavin Sheehan (20%, 563 runners). The form line 115-6P shows two wins in a sequence before a pull-up last time, and the tongue-piece headgear applied today suggests connections are targeting a bounce-back run. At 11-8 he carries a workable weight and gets a clear edge over Roaring Home on burden. The GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and stepping out at a price of 13/2 with the money firmly behind him represents value against a drifting favourite. Each-way alternative: Notnowlinda. Main danger: Notnowlinda — Notnowlinda (SR:110, 5/1) is the second-highest SR in the field, ran just 16 days ago suggesting peak fitness, carries a light 11-2, has tightened 9% in the market, and is trained and ridden by the formidable Skelton combination (trainer 21%, jockey 27%) — a yard that rarely runs horses at short intervals without purpose.
Full result
Winner: Jackstell (FR) at SP 15/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Jackstell Fox #1 13/2
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2
Time To Bite 7/1
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3
Jaramillo 33/1
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4
Roaring Home Fox #3 2/1
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5
Notnowlinda Fox #2 9/2
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6
Porter In The Park 10/1
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7
Dinons 10/1
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8
Juan Bermudez Fox #4 5/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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2
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3
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4