Stratford 18:15 RESULTED
Class 4 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Rich Ellis's 60th Vinyl Countdown Handicap Hurdle Race

Rich Ellis's 60th Vinyl Countdown Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m6f7y

Official Result

Rich Ellis's 60th Vinyl Countdown Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Jackstell (FR) Gavin Sheehan · Jamie Snowden
    15/2
  2. 8/1
  3. 25/1
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Roaring Home silks
Roaring Home
Age 7 · 11-11
41-122
116
119
110
7
11-11
2/1 5/4 2/1
Ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Roaring Home faces a stiff task under 165 lb, and her two recent seconds suggest the winning thread has cooled, though she did score back-to-back three and four starts back and has run over today's trip and going before.
AI verdict

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Porter In The Park silks
Porter In The Park
Age 9 · 11-10
329-3P
115
100
117
9
11-10
10/1 FCST 9/1
Porter In The Park shaped with plenty of promise when third and ninth in her two prior starts, and her experience over today's trip and going stands her in good stead; the main concern is that pulled-up run 94 days ago, leaving fitness on her comeback slightly in question.
AI verdict

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Jackstell silks
Jackstell
Age 7 · 11-8
115-6P
113
107
114
7
11-8
13/2 9/1 6/1
Jackstell landed back-to-back wins in his last five starts and his experience on today's going is a clear asset at 162 lb; the main concern is a 67-day absence that leaves his current fitness an open question.
AI verdict

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Jaramillo silks
Jaramillo
Age 8 · 11-8
3656-8
113
80
118
8
11-8
33/1 20/1 33/1
Rated highest in this field and showing a third five starts back as his best recent effort, Jaramillo has experience over today's trip and going, though he arrives winless in his last five and must bounce back after a couple of modest efforts.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Juan Bermudez silks
Juan Bermudez
Age 7 · 11-5
52-214
110
113
110
7
11-5
5/1 10/3 5/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures and carrying a hefty 159 lb after 68 days off, Juan Bermudez is hard to fancy at face value, though he has experience over today's trip and going, and was a winner two starts back.
AI verdict

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Time To Bite silks
Time To Bite
Age 11 · 11-5
2-1302
110
104
114
11
11-5
7/1 9/2 7/1
Time To Bite shaped with promise when second last time out and has run over today's trip and going, but an unplaced effort two starts back is a concern, and 48 days off the track leaves a fitness question ahead of this field.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Notnowlinda silks
Notnowlinda
Age 9 · 11-2
953-44
107
110
112
9
11-2
9/2
Winless in her last five starts, Notnowlinda does at least bring distance and going experience to the table and a third three starts back shows she can hit the frame, though carrying 156 lb looks a stiff ask for a mare rated 107 on official figures.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Dinons silks
Dinons
Age 13 · 11-2
23U-38
107
104
115
13
11-2
10/1 11/1 17/2
Dinons shaped with real promise when third two starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating of 115 puts him firmly in contention; the main concern is a trainer firing at just 5% in the last 14 days.
AI verdict

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Roaring Home 2/1 open 2.88 2/1 open 2.25 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 open 2.50 2/1 Bet365
2 Porter In The Park 10/1 open 10.00 9/1 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 Bet365
3 Jackstell 13/2 open 10.00 6/1 open 12.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 6/1 open 11.00 13/2 Bet365
4 Jaramillo 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 open 21.00 33/1 Bet365
5 Juan Bermudez 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 5/1 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.50 5/1 open 4.33 11/2 William Hill
6 Time To Bite 7/1 open 6.50 15/2 open 5.50 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 15/2 open 6.00 7/1 open 6.00 15/2 Paddy Power
7 Notnowlinda 9/2 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 open 6.50 9/2 Bet365
8 Dinons 10/1 open 17.00 17/2 open 51.00 9/1 open 13.00 9/1 open 13.00 17/2 open 13.00 9/1 open 12.00 10/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Roaring Home

Live signal

Roaring Home owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (66) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

2/1 Henry Daly Sam Twiston-Davies
79% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Time To Bite

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/1 · Chris Honour
✓ Value Signal

Jaramillo

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · Warren Greatrex
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
66 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +25.1 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
91 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
44 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.4 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Roaring Home
65.7 2/1
2 6. Time To Bite
59.0 7/1
3 5. Juan Bermudez
58.4 5/1
4 7. Notnowlinda
57.7 9/2
5 3. Jackstell
57.4 13/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Jackstell
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 7 · 11-11
2/1
★★★☆☆ SR 119 🐾

SR 119 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 9 · 11-2
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 11-5
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 113 🐾

SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 11-8
13/2
★★★☆☆ SR 107 🐾

SR 107 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 11 · 11-5
7/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 9 · 11-10
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 100 🐾

SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Age 13 · 11-2
10/1
★★★☆☆ SR 104 🐾

SR 104 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Jackstell
Confidence: Speculative

Jackstell (SR:107, 13/2) is the standout selection on the strength of a dramatic 36% market move inward — the most significant steaming in the field — combined with a strong trainer strike rate from Jamie Snowden (25%, 415 runners) and an experienced jockey booking in Gavin Sheehan (20%, 563 runners). The form line 115-6P shows two wins in a sequence before a pull-up last time, and the tongue-piece headgear applied today suggests connections are targeting a bounce-back run. At 11-8 he carries a workable weight and gets a clear edge over Roaring Home on burden. The GoingFit:+ confirms he handles today's good ground, and stepping out at a price of 13/2 with the money firmly behind him represents value against a drifting favourite. Each-way alternative: Notnowlinda. Main danger: Notnowlinda — Notnowlinda (SR:110, 5/1) is the second-highest SR in the field, ran just 16 days ago suggesting peak fitness, carries a light 11-2, has tightened 9% in the market, and is trained and ridden by the formidable Skelton combination (trainer 21%, jockey 27%) — a yard that rarely runs horses at short intervals without purpose.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Form line 115-6P ends with a pull-up — the most recent run is a non-completion, not merely a poor finishing position, raising fitness and soundness questions for a horse returning after 67 days.
  • The '6' before the pull-up already represented a sharp drop in form from back-to-back wins; this is a two-run deterioration trend, not a one-off blip that headgear can simply fix.
  • Juan Bermudez (W2P4 at Stratford, SR:113, top weight advantage of 3lb over Jackstell) has proven course form that Jackstell's record does not show, and is only 13/2 shorter on the same market.
  • Notnowlinda (Days:16, SR:110, Dan/Harry Skelton 21%/27%) arrives race-sharp just 16 days ago versus Jackstell's 67-day absence post-pull-up, a significant fitness edge in a competitive summer hurdle.
Shortlist Jackstell, Notnowlinda, Roaring Home, Juan Bermudez
Each-way: Notnowlinda Danger: Notnowlinda

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m6f7y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Stratford Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade