← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
Sadies Diamond
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Sadies Diamond (SR:84, 9/4) is the standout pick driven by a remarkable 53% market move in — the strongest steaming signal in the field by a wide margin — combined with the most favourable weight in the competitive portion of the field at 10-6. The form string /28-35 shows consistent placing and a return to action just 7 days ago suggests connections are confident the mare is at peak fitness right now. Carrying 10-6 gives her a meaningful pounds advantage over top-weight Mistral Blue (12-0) and Parikarma (11-11), and that weight edge is significant at this distance of 2m6f7y on good ground. The GoingFit:- is a concern and must be named, but the aggressive market support — shortening 53% from the open — suggests connections have specific confidence today rather than this being a casual entry. Each-way alternative: Parikarma. Main danger: Parikarma — Parikarma (SR:90, 5/2) holds the highest SR in the field, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) at today's exact conditions, and has course form (W0P2) at Stratford — if the market drift of 34% is being misread and the form figures of -32723 represent a horse building back, she is the one capable of outstaying Sadies Diamond over this stamina-test trip.
Full result
Winner: Parikarma (IRE) at SP 3/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Parikarma Fox #2 3/1
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2
Leave Her To Me 12/1
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3
Blackwater Lilly 5/1
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4
Quick Of The Night 6/1
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5
Porridge 66/1
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6
Liasse d'Argent 33/1
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7
Mistral Blue Fox #3 17/2
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8
Mc'flo 18/1
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9
Lady Bee Great 33/1
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—
Sadies Diamond Fox #1 9/4
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sadies Diamond 9/4
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2
Parikarma 5/2 SP 3/1F 🏆 WON
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3
Mistral Blue 8/1 7TH