Stratford 19:15 RESULTED
Class 5 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race

Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race · 2m6f7y

Official Result

Andy Townsend Memorial Mares' Handicap Hurdle Race

Confirmed
  1. Winner Parikarma (IRE) Miss Imogen Mathias · Samuel Drinkwater
    3/1F
  2. 12/1
  3. 9/2
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mistral Blue silks
Mistral Blue
Age 8 · 12-0
-53160
99
82
95
8
12-0
17/2 11/2 15/2
Mistral Blue landed a win three starts back and was third four starts back, giving her a lively recent profile, and with experience of today's distance and going she merits respect — though that unplaced effort last time is the clear caution.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Leave Her To Me silks
Leave Her To Me
Age 8 · 11-13
159P-6
98
79
100
8
11-13
12/1 8/1 11/1
Leave Her To Me landed a win in her last five starts and has experience of today's trip and conditions, giving her a solid each-way profile at 167 lb; the main concern is her consistency, having pulled up and finished sixth in her two most recent outings.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Parikarma silks
Parikarma
Age 9 · 11-11
-32723
96
90
96
9
11-11
3/1 3/2 11/4
Consistent mare who has finished second or third in four of her last five starts, with today's trip and going presenting no unknowns; winless in recent starts but her place-form reads well, and 21 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh and ready.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Blackwater Lilly silks
Blackwater Lilly
Age 6 · 11-10
2-4446
95
83
101
6
11-10
5/1 7/2 5/1
Blackwater Lilly rates highest of these ten on our figures and has run over today's trip and going, giving her a solid platform, but she carries a hefty 164 lb and remains winless in her last five starts, which is the concern.
AI verdict

SR 83 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Lady Bee Great silks
Lady Bee Great
Age 7 · 11-9
P3-118
94
50
92
7
11-9
33/1 14/1 28/1
Lady Bee Great won two of her last five starts, including back-to-back victories two and three runs ago, but an eighth last time out clouds her credentials; she has experience of today's going, though 163 lb is a stern burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 50 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

6
Liasse d'Argent silks
Liasse d'Argent
Age 6 · 10-10
56-46
81
45
74
6
10-10
33/1 12/1 28/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked ninth of ten on our figures, Liasse d'Argent faces a stiff task here, returning after 98 days off carrying 150 lb, though she does have experience of today's going.
AI verdict

SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.

7
Quick Of The Night silks
Quick Of The Night
Age 9 · 10-9
5-3306
80
73
82
9
10-9
6/1 FCST 11/2
Winless in her last five starts, Quick Of The Night does at least bring going experience and a level of fitness after 21 days off, though carrying 149 lb and ranked seventh of ten on our rating leaves her with plenty to find from a midfield berth.
AI verdict

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Sadies Diamond silks
Sadies Diamond
Age 7 · 10-6
/28-35
77
84
80
7
10-6
9/4 9/2 32/17
Winless in her last four starts and ranked eighth of ten on our figures, Sadies Diamond faces a stiff ask here, though she has run over today's going before and her third two starts back shows she can hit the frame on her day.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

9
Porridge silks
Porridge
Age 6 · 10-4
P4-88P
75
53
89
6
10-4
66/1 40/1 50/1
Pulled up last time and winless in her last five starts, Porridge faces an uphill task here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and our rating of 89 suggests more ability than her mark of 75 implies; 88 days off is the remaining query.
AI verdict

SR 53 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 50/1.

10
Mc'flo silks
Mc'flo
Age 5 · 10-2
8964P5
70
49
69
5
10-2
18/1 22/1 14/1
Winless in her last six starts, including a pulled-up effort, Mc'flo ranks bottom of our assessments and carries 142 lb, making her very hard to fancy; she does have experience over today's trip and going, and returns on a quick enough turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mistral Blue 17/2 open 8.00 15/2 open 6.50 15/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 17/2 open 7.50 15/2 open 7.50 17/2 Bet365
2 Leave Her To Me 12/1 11/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 open 9.00 12/1 Bet365
3 Parikarma 3/1 open 2.50 11/4 open 2.63 10/3 open 2.63 10/3 open 2.63 10/3 open 2.63 10/3 open 2.63 10/3 Coral
4 Blackwater Lilly 5/1 open 4.50 5/1 open 6.50 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 Bet365
5 Lady Bee Great 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 15.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 Bet365
6 Liasse d'Argent 33/1 open 19.00 28/1 open 13.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 17.00 28/1 open 17.00 33/1 Bet365
7 Quick Of The Night 6/1 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 6/1 Bet365
8 Sadies Diamond 9/4 open 8.00 2/1 open 8.50 2/1 open 5.50 2/1 open 5.50 2/1 open 5.50 15/8 open 6.00 9/4 Bet365
9 Porridge 66/1 open 51.00 50/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 open 41.00 66/1 Bet365
10 Mc'flo 18/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 34.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 16/1 open 23.00 14/1 open 23.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Parikarma

Speculative

Parikarma owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

3/1 Samuel Drinkwater Miss Imogen Mathias(7)
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Sadies Diamond

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Jeff Mullins
✓ Value Signal

Porridge

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

66/1 · Tracey Leeson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
86 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.0 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
42 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.2 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Parikarma
56.0 3/1
2 8. Sadies Diamond
55.0 9/4
3 4. Blackwater Lilly
54.4 5/1
4 7. Quick Of The Night
50.0 6/1
5 1. Mistral Blue
49.6 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Sadies Diamond
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

8
Age 7 · 10-6
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-11
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 6 · 11-10
5/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 83 🐾

SR 83 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
Age 9 · 10-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 8 · 12-0
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 8 · 11-13
12/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 10-2
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 49 🐾

SR 49 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

Drifters Drifted — market cooling

No drifters in this race.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Sadies Diamond
Confidence: Speculative

Sadies Diamond (SR:84, 9/4) is the standout pick driven by a remarkable 53% market move in — the strongest steaming signal in the field by a wide margin — combined with the most favourable weight in the competitive portion of the field at 10-6. The form string /28-35 shows consistent placing and a return to action just 7 days ago suggests connections are confident the mare is at peak fitness right now. Carrying 10-6 gives her a meaningful pounds advantage over top-weight Mistral Blue (12-0) and Parikarma (11-11), and that weight edge is significant at this distance of 2m6f7y on good ground. The GoingFit:- is a concern and must be named, but the aggressive market support — shortening 53% from the open — suggests connections have specific confidence today rather than this being a casual entry. Each-way alternative: Parikarma. Main danger: Parikarma — Parikarma (SR:90, 5/2) holds the highest SR in the field, has proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and going fitness (GoingFit:+) at today's exact conditions, and has course form (W0P2) at Stratford — if the market drift of 34% is being misread and the form figures of -32723 represent a horse building back, she is the one capable of outstaying Sadies Diamond over this stamina-test trip.

Case against 4 clamped
  • GoingFit is unlisted ('-'), meaning no confirmed suitability for today's good ground at 2m6f7y — a stamina test where going preference is critical.
  • Trainer Jeff Mullins has no strike rate or sample size listed, making it impossible to assess stable form; a 7-day turnaround from an unknown handler carries real risk.
  • Form string /28-35 shows only one placing (2nd) in recent starts with a '3' and '5' finish — no win in current form cycle, and the slash suggests a layoff before this sequence.
  • Parikarma (SR:90, 5/2) holds a higher Speed Rating and has Course:W0P2 — actual course placing experience at Stratford — which Sadies Diamond lacks (Course:W0P1, no win).
Shortlist Sadies Diamond, Parikarma, Mistral Blue
Each-way: Parikarma Danger: Parikarma

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m6f7y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Stratford Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade