← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox

Jw4x4 Northallerton Nursery Handicap Stakes

14:05 Thirsk Sat 05 Sep 2026 5f Class 4 Good to Soft 9 runners

View the racecard →

Mr Fox’s call

Concert Pitch silks

Concert Pitch

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 27%

6TH

Mr Fox says

Concert Pitch (SR:90, 5/1, Wgt:8-12) carries the lightest weight in the field and has the highest SR by a clear margin — that 5-7lb weight advantage over rivals like This Moment and Black Velvet Boy (both 9-6/9-9) is significant on good to soft ground over 5f. The form string 662221 shows a horse that has been finding its feet and hit peak form, winning last time out. Connor Beasley is a strong booking (15% strike rate, 432 career runs) and this is a horse stepping up in class (↑2) but doing so off the lightest weight in the race — the handicapper's concession to its mark rise of +7 is partially offset by that weight advantage. The danger from the market drift is real, but Beasley's confidence via the market (no drift flagged, unlike the drifters around it) and the trajectory of form make Concert Pitch the most compelling case. Each-way alternative: Princesse d'Orange. Main danger: Black Velvet Boy — Black Velvet Boy (SR:85, 13/2, Wgt:9-6) has won two consecutive races (Form:7311) and carries proven distance form (DistFit:+), with Jason Hart (14% strike rate) aboard — a horse in excellent recent nick that could make Concert Pitch work hard to confirm superiority off the weights.

Verify· #16193

Full result

Winner: This Moment (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 This Moment silks This Moment George Boughey · Grace McEntee 15/2
  2. 2 Black Velvet Boy silks Black Velvet Boy Fox #3 John & Sean Quinn · Jason Hart 8/1
  3. 3 Furturra silks Furturra Tim Easterby · David Allan 6/1
  4. 4 Princesse d'Orange silks Princesse d'Orange Fox #2 David O'Meara · Kevin Stott 4/1
  5. 5 Roots In Touche silks Roots In Touche Adrian Keatley · M. P. Sheehy 11/1
  6. 6 Concert Pitch silks Concert Pitch Fox #1 Brian Ellison · Connor Beasley 7/2
  7. 7 Anchiano silks Anchiano Fox #4 George Scott · Darragh Keenan 6/1
  8. 8 Casino Star silks Casino Star K. R. Burke · Pierre-Louis Jamin 11/1
  9. 9 Savage Mariner silks Savage Mariner Hugo Palmer · Harry Davies 22/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Concert Pitch silks Concert Pitch 5/1 6TH
  2. 2 Princesse d'Orange silks Princesse d'Orange 11/2 🏁 4TH
  3. 3 Black Velvet Boy silks Black Velvet Boy 13/2 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 Anchiano silks Anchiano 9/2 7TH