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Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
What's The Plan
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 34%
Mr Fox says
What's The Plan (SR:89, 9/4) carries the joint-lightest weight among the top SR horses at 9-5 and has been dramatically backed — in 34% from opening — which is the strongest market signal in this field by some distance. James Fanshawe operates at an 18% career strike rate (238 runners, so a meaningful sample), and the form string of -43422 shows consistent placed efforts at this class level, suggesting a horse building towards a win rather than one in decline. At 9/4 the market is pricing this as a near-favourite and the weight edge over Spirit Of Acklam (10-1) and High Storm (9-9) is material over 1m4f on good to soft ground. The combination of top-tier trainer, strong money, competitive SR, and advantageous weight makes this the most convincing case in a field where DistFit and GoingFit are universally unproven. Each-way alternative: High Storm. Main danger: Wardlaw — Wardlaw (SR:87, 3/1) was last seen winning — form reads -52231 — and Sir Mark Prescott at 20% strike rate is a master of placing horses precisely; the class rise is a concern but Prescott rarely runs a horse where it cannot compete, and Kevin Stott is a booking that commands respect.
Full result
Winner: High Storm (GB) at SP 7/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
High Storm Fox #2 10/3
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2
Wardlaw Fox #3 11/4
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3
Spirit Of Acklam Fox #4 9/2
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4
Bay Of Myths 11/1
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5
What's The Plan Fox #1 9/4
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6
Kisiyra 100/1
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Knightsail 15/2
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Mr Bollinger 25/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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3
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4