Thirsk 16:25 RESULTED
Class 4 5 Sep 2026

Saturday 5 September Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m4f8y

Official Result

Calverts Carpets Hambleton Cup Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner High Storm (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · K. R. Burke
    7/2
  2. Second Wardlaw (USA)
    11/8F
  3. 13/2
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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 2 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Spirit Of Acklam silks
Spirit Of Acklam
Age 5 · 10-1
9-5714
80
84
96
5
10-1
9/2
Spirit Of Acklam won two starts back and arrives here 26 days later in good order, with experience of both today's trip and going working in his favour; rated 96 and top of the eight, he has the class edge, though a return to form after his fourth last time is the one thing to prove.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
High Storm silks
High Storm
Age 3 · 9-9
4-2154
82
90
93
3
9-9
10/3 FCST 3/1
High Storm shaped as a strong contender on his official mark of 82 given our rating of 93, and he has experience of today's trip and going; the main concern is a 99-day absence, with only fourth and fifth in his last two starts to advertise his current form.
AI verdict

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Bay Of Myths silks
Bay Of Myths
Age 3 · 9-6
13
79
73
83
3
9-6
11/1 5/1 11/1
Bay Of Myths was a winner two starts back and ran a solid third last time out, giving him solid recent form to build on, though 138 days off the track is the key question mark he must answer fresh.
AI verdict

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
What's The Plan silks
What's The Plan
Age 3 · 9-5
-43422
78
89
83
3
9-5
9/4 7/2 9/4
Consistent without a win in his last five starts, What's The Plan has been runner-up twice in recent outings and rates 5 lb above his official mark, making him a strong threat at the weights; the risk is whether he can finally convert.
AI verdict

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Kisiyra silks
Kisiyra
Age 5 · 9-5
55/4-7
70
44
78
5
9-5
100/1 50/1 80/1
Winless in her last four starts and ranked seventh of eight on our figures, Kisiyra has experience over today's trip but little recent form to recommend her, and a 93-day absence adds further doubt despite a handy weight of 131 lb.
AI verdict

SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 80/1.

6
Wardlaw silks
Wardlaw
Age 3 · 9-3
-52231
76
87
79
3
9-3
11/4 FCST 5/2
Wardlaw won last time out and has run over today's trip, with a trainer firing at 35% over the past fortnight offering solid support; however, ranked sixth of eight on ratings and carrying 129 lb, he faces a stiff ask to confirm himself at the head of affairs.
AI verdict

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Knightsail silks
Knightsail
Age 3 · 9-2
73-74
75
72
79
3
9-2
15/2 FCST 6/1
Knightsail shaped with promise when third three starts back, but has been below that level since, and winless in his last four outings; returning after 43 days off carrying 128 lb, he needs to find a gear here to threaten the principals.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Mr Bollinger silks
Mr Bollinger
Age 3 · 8-8
648412
67
55
75
3
8-8
25/1 10/1 22/1
Ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Mr Bollinger is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back and a runner-up finish last time out; he has experience of today's distance and going, but a speed rating of 66 makes improvement to competitive level a tall order.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Spirit Of Acklam 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 8.00 9/2 9/2 9/2 open 6.00 9/2 9/2 Bet365
2 High Storm 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 7/2 10/3 open 4.50 10/3 open 5.00 3/1 open 4.50 7/2 Coral
3 Bay Of Myths 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.00 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 open 7.00 11/1 open 6.50 11/1 Bet365
4 What's The Plan 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 4.50 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 open 5.00 9/4 Bet365
5 Kisiyra 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 80/1 open 51.00 100/1 open 51.00 100/1 Bet365
6 Wardlaw 11/4 open 3.50 5/2 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 Bet365
7 Knightsail 15/2 open 13.00 13/2 open 12.00 7/1 7/1 15/2 6/1 15/2 Bet365
8 Mr Bollinger 25/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 11.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 12.00 22/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 12.00 25/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

High Storm

Speculative

High Storm owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

10/3 K. R. Burke Pierre-Louis Jamin
68% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

What's The Plan

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · James Fanshawe
✓ Value Signal

Kisiyra

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

100/1 · David Thompson
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +19.0 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
85 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.6 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
39 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.5 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 2. High Storm
56.8 10/3
2 4. What's The Plan
55.1 9/4
3 6. Wardlaw
53.9 11/4
4 1. Spirit Of Acklam
52.1 9/2
5 7. Knightsail
48.2 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
What's The Plan
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 3 · 9-5
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 89 🐾

SR 89 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 3 · 9-3
11/4
★★★☆☆ SR 87 🐾

SR 87 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 3 · 9-9
10/3
★★★☆☆ SR 90 🐾

SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 5 · 10-1
9/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 3 · 9-2
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 3 · 9-6
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 73 🐾

SR 73 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
What's The Plan
Confidence: Speculative

What's The Plan (SR:89, 9/4) carries the joint-lightest weight among the top SR horses at 9-5 and has been dramatically backed — in 34% from opening — which is the strongest market signal in this field by some distance. James Fanshawe operates at an 18% career strike rate (238 runners, so a meaningful sample), and the form string of -43422 shows consistent placed efforts at this class level, suggesting a horse building towards a win rather than one in decline. At 9/4 the market is pricing this as a near-favourite and the weight edge over Spirit Of Acklam (10-1) and High Storm (9-9) is material over 1m4f on good to soft ground. The combination of top-tier trainer, strong money, competitive SR, and advantageous weight makes this the most convincing case in a field where DistFit and GoingFit are universally unproven. Each-way alternative: High Storm. Main danger: Wardlaw — Wardlaw (SR:87, 3/1) was last seen winning — form reads -52231 — and Sir Mark Prescott at 20% strike rate is a master of placing horses precisely; the class rise is a concern but Prescott rarely runs a horse where it cannot compete, and Kevin Stott is a booking that commands respect.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Wardlaw (3/1) has the highest market move of +7 in the field, a fresher 23-day gap, lighter weight at 9-3, and Sir Mark Prescott's 20% strike rate — a stronger trainer angle than Fanshawe, suggesting…
  • Form string -43422 shows consistent placing but no win; a horse repeatedly finishing 2nd-4th at this class level may be a 'nearly horse' who finds a rival to follow home rather than one about to brea…
  • High Storm (SR:90, highest in field) carries only 4lb more at 9-9 and is trained by K.R. Burke (19% strike rate vs Fanshawe's 18%) — marginally superior ability rating undermines the weight-edge narr…
  • Harry Davies rides at just 11% strike rate and the 34% market move, while eye-catching, may partly reflect thin early liquidity at a 9-race Saturday card rather than informed stable confidence.
Shortlist What's The Plan, High Storm, Wardlaw, Spirit Of Acklam
Each-way: High Storm Danger: Wardlaw

🗺 The Course Class 4

1m4f8y Distance to cover
Good to Soft Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Thirsk Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade