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Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div I)

17:00 Thirsk Sat 05 Sep 2026 7f Class 4 Good to Soft 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Native Instinct silks

Native Instinct

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%

8TH

Mr Fox says

Native Instinct leads the field on SR (84) and carries a manageable 9-5, giving it a clear ability edge over rivals. The form string 6-2614 shows a win and a runner-up in recent starts, indicating peak form, and trainer Edward Bethell runs at a strong 15% strike rate. The market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming stable confidence, and at 11/4 the implied probability (27%) sits slightly below our 32% estimate — fair value given the SR advantage. The main concern is DistFit:- at 7f, but the class level (Class 4 handicap, £5,234 prize) is well within its compass. Each-way alternative: Andesite. Main danger: Andesite — Andesite matches Misunderstood on SR (79), is steaming in the market (shortened 22%), carries 9-9, and trainer Roger Fell's yard appears to be purposeful about this run — the market move is the clearest signal of stable intent in the field.

Verify· #16302

Full result

Winner: Andesite (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Andesite silks Andesite Fox #2 Roger Fell · Kevin Stott 7/2
  2. 2 Misunderstood silks Misunderstood Fox #3 David O'Meara · Jason Hart 3/1
  3. 3 Good Karma silks Good Karma John David Riches · Ethan Tindall(5) 33/1
  4. 4 Frankies Dream silks Frankies Dream Jennie Candlish · Darragh Keenan 11/2
  5. 5 Mythical Phoenix silks Mythical Phoenix Julie Camacho · David Allan 66/1
  6. 6 Native Honey silks Native Honey Fox #4 Jim Goldie · Lauren Young(5) 9/1
  7. 7 Intrusively silks Intrusively Michael Appleby · Joanna Mason 14/1
  8. 8 Native Instinct silks Native Instinct Fox #1 Edward Bethell · Harry Davies 3/1
  9. 9 Kosometsuke silks Kosometsuke Michael Dods · Connor Beasley 14/1
  10. — Wreck It Ryley silks Wreck It Ryley Alan Brown · Non Runner -

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Native Instinct silks Native Instinct 11/4 8TH
  2. 2 Andesite silks Andesite 4/1 SP 5/1 🏆 WON
  3. 3 Misunderstood silks Misunderstood 10/3 🥈 2ND
  4. 4 Native Honey silks Native Honey 9/1 6TH