Thirsk Racecourse Ideal Conference & Events Venue Handicap Stakes (Div I) · 7f
SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 72 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 suggests ability but 18/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Wreck It Ryley | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 1 Kosometsuke | 14/1 open 7.00 | 14/1 open 7.50 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 open 9.00 | 12/1 open 8.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Misunderstood | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 open 3.75 | 3/1 | 11/4 open 3.50 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Andesite | 7/2 open 11.00 | 7/2 open 8.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 | 7/2 open 5.00 | 7/2 Bet365 |
| 4 Mythical Phoenix | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 open 29.00 | 66/1 open 26.00 | 66/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Frankies Dream | 11/2 open 8.50 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.50 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 5/1 open 7.00 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 6 Native Instinct | 3/1 open 3.75 | 11/4 open 4.00 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 | 3/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Intrusively | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 17.00 | 14/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Native Honey | 9/1 open 8.50 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 | 9/1 open 9.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Good Karma | 33/1 open 10.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Misunderstood owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (44) and market confidence (86). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 79 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 72 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 69 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Native Instinct leads the field on SR (84) and carries a manageable 9-5, giving it a clear ability edge over rivals. The form string 6-2614 shows a win and a runner-up in recent starts, indicating peak form, and trainer Edward Bethell runs at a strong 15% strike rate. The market has shortened 7% since opening, confirming stable confidence, and at 11/4 the implied probability (27%) sits slightly below our 32% estimate — fair value given the SR advantage. The main concern is DistFit:- at 7f, but the class level (Class 4 handicap, £5,234 prize) is well within its compass. Each-way alternative: Andesite. Main danger: Andesite — Andesite matches Misunderstood on SR (79), is steaming in the market (shortened 22%), carries 9-9, and trainer Roger Fell's yard appears to be purposeful about this run — the market move is the clearest signal of stable intent in the field.