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Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series)

14:00 Navan Sat 05 Sep 2026 5f180y Good 10 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Supreme Lord silks

Supreme Lord

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 Est. 28%

7TH

Mr Fox says

Supreme Lord (SR:90, 5/2) posts the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Lady Patrona, but crucially is the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — a meaningful edge in a 10-runner nursery where several rivals show GoingFit:- or GoingFit:?. The form string 3-5-5-1 shows a progressive arc culminating in a last-time-out win just nine days ago, indicating peak freshness rather than staleness. The MarkMv:+12 is a concern — connections are asking him to concede his winning mark — but Donagh O'Connor is a booking that keeps the price honest and the trainer's 14% strike rate is respectable at this level. Despite top-weight of 9-13, the going advantage and peak form outweigh the burden. Each-way alternative: Lars Soldier. Main danger: Lady Patrona — Lady Patrona matches Supreme Lord on SR:91 (joint-highest), carries 10lb less at 9-3, has a last-time-out win in her form (2-4-4-1) and has been gently supported into 5/1 (Mkt:in6%), with Shane Foley — the stronger jockey booking here by strike rate — in the plate; the weight relief could prove decisive.

Verify· #16189

Full result

Winner: Lars Soldier (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Lars Soldier silks Lars Soldier Fox #3 Michael Mulvany · Wesley Joyce(3) 6/1
  2. 2 Howlin Wolf silks Howlin Wolf Fox #4 Jack W Davison · Declan McDonogh 13/2
  3. 3 Lady Patrona silks Lady Patrona Fox #2 Mrs John Harrington · Shane Foley 4/1
  4. 4 La Tache silks La Tache G M Lyons · Colin Keane 10/1
  5. 5 Shesthedevil silks Shesthedevil Patrick Magee · Chris Hayes 10/1
  6. 6 Captain James Cook silks Captain James Cook A P O'Brien · Wayne Lordan 15/2
  7. 7 Supreme Lord silks Supreme Lord Fox #1 Robson De Aguiar · Donagh O'Connor 10/3
  8. 8 Celestial Crown silks Celestial Crown J P Murtagh · Rory Mulligan(5) 28/1
  9. 9 Tradewinds silks Tradewinds Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · Paddy Harnett(3) 18/1
  10. 10 I Ready silks I Ready Paul W Flynn · Reese Holohan(7) 9/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Supreme Lord silks Supreme Lord 5/2 7TH
  2. 2 Lady Patrona silks Lady Patrona 5/1 🥉 3RD
  3. 3 Lars Soldier silks Lars Soldier 6/1 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
  4. 4 Howlin Wolf silks Howlin Wolf 5/1 🥈 2ND