Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap (Birdcatcher Series) · 5f180y
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 84 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 59 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 49 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Supreme Lord | 10/3 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 10/3 open 3.50 | 3/1 open 3.50 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 2 La Tache | 10/1 open 7.00 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 open 6.50 | 9/1 open 6.50 | 10/1 Bet365 |
| 3 Tradewinds | 18/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
| 4 I Ready | 9/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 17/2 open 8.00 | 8/1 open 8.00 | 9/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Lars Soldier | 6/1 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 6/1 open 9.50 | 11/2 open 11.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Lady Patrona | 4/1 open 6.00 | 11/2 open 8.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 4/1 open 7.00 | 9/2 open 7.00 | 11/2 Paddy Power |
| 7 Shesthedevil | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 open 15.00 | 10/1 open 15.00 | 11/1 William Hill |
| 8 Howlin Wolf | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 4.50 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 open 5.00 | 13/2 Bet365 |
| 9 Celestial Crown | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 | 28/1 | 25/1 open 29.00 | 28/1 open 26.00 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 10 Captain James Cook | 15/2 | 6/1 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Supreme Lord owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (50) and market confidence (85). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 84 suggests ability but 6/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 67 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Supreme Lord (SR:90, 5/2) posts the joint-highest SR in the field alongside Lady Patrona, but crucially is the only runner with a confirmed GoingFit:+ on today's good ground — a meaningful edge in a 10-runner nursery where several rivals show GoingFit:- or GoingFit:?. The form string 3-5-5-1 shows a progressive arc culminating in a last-time-out win just nine days ago, indicating peak freshness rather than staleness. The MarkMv:+12 is a concern — connections are asking him to concede his winning mark — but Donagh O'Connor is a booking that keeps the price honest and the trainer's 14% strike rate is respectable at this level. Despite top-weight of 9-13, the going advantage and peak form outweigh the burden. Each-way alternative: Lars Soldier. Main danger: Lady Patrona — Lady Patrona matches Supreme Lord on SR:91 (joint-highest), carries 10lb less at 9-3, has a last-time-out win in her form (2-4-4-1) and has been gently supported into 5/1 (Mkt:in6%), with Shane Foley — the stronger jockey booking here by strike rate — in the plate; the weight relief could prove decisive.