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Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle (gbb Race)

14:55 Fontwell Sun 06 Sep 2026 2m3f29y Class 4 Good 5 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Coastal Command silks

Coastal Command

SPECULATIVE Advised 5/1 Est. 28%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Coastal Command (SR:151, 5/1, Nicky Henderson 24% strike rate) is the standout on ability and connections. Henderson's yard at 24% from 151 runners is a formidable operation, and Nico de Boinville is a top-level booking that signals stable confidence after a 481-day absence — long layoffs from Henderson's yard frequently precede a planned campaign return. The SR of 151 ties Downtown Nashville but Coastal Command carries 3lb more (11-4 vs 11-1) yet the jockey quality and trainer's preparation pedigree more than compensates. While GoingFit is unknown (maiden hurdle career), the class step up (↑1) is offset by the SR ceiling being among the highest here, and Henderson doesn't run horses back off long breaks without targeting a win. Each-way alternative: Novelista. Main danger: Novelista — Novelista holds the highest SR in the field at 156, has GoingFit:+ on today's ground, and Warren Greatrex's 13% strike rate is respectable — if the 127-day break is fully wound out, this is the most talented horse in the race on SR alone.

Verify· #16416

Full result

Winner: Moab (IRE) at SP 1/1F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Moab silks Moab Henrietta C Knight · Brendan Powell 5/4
  2. 2 Novelista silks Novelista Fox #2 Warren Greatrex · James Bowen 11/4
  3. 3 Coastal Command silks Coastal Command Fox #1 Nicky Henderson · Nico de Boinville 11/2
  4. 4 Downtown Nashville silks Downtown Nashville Fox #3 Olly Murphy · Sean Bowen 5/1
  5. 5 Anzac Day silks Anzac Day Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · Jonjo O'Neill Jr. 12/1

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Coastal Command silks Coastal Command 5/1 🥉 3RD
  2. 2 Novelista silks Novelista 3/1 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Downtown Nashville silks Downtown Nashville 5/1 🏁 4TH