Fontwell 14:55 RESULTED
Class 4 6 Sep 2026

Sunday 6 September Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle (gbb Race)

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle (gbb Race) · 2m3f29y

Official Result

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Hurdle (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Moab (IRE) Brendan Powell · Henrietta C Knight
    1/1F
  2. 7/2
  3. 13/2
AI ExplorerBETA Deep analytics
Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks, 1 day ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Anzac Day silks
Anzac Day
Age 5 · 11-4
5
145
5
11-4
12/1 9/1 12/1
SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
AI verdict

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Coastal Command silks
Coastal Command
Age 6 · 11-4
338-
151
6
11-4
11/2 9/2 11/2
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Moab silks
Moab
Age 6 · 11-4
02243-
110
119
110OR
6
11-4
5/4 3/2 11/10
Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Downtown Nashville silks
Downtown Nashville
Age 4 · 11-1
2P-432
151
4
11-1
5/1 3/1 5/1
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Novelista silks
Novelista
Age 4 · 11-1
62-
156
4
11-1
11/4 5/2 11/4
Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Anzac Day 12/1 open 10.00 12/1 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 open 11.00 12/1 Bet365
2 Coastal Command 11/2 open 6.00 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 open 5.50 11/2 Bet365
3 Moab 5/4 open 2.63 11/10 open 2.50 6/5 open 2.50 6/5 open 2.50 5/4 open 2.50 6/5 open 2.50 5/4 Bet365
4 Downtown Nashville 5/1 open 4.00 11/2 open 4.50 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 open 4.33 11/2 Paddy Power
5 Novelista 11/4 open 4.33 11/4 open 3.50 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 11/4 open 4.00 3/1 3/1 Betfred

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Novelista

Live signal

Novelista owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (87) and market confidence (87). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

11/4 Warren Greatrex James Bowen
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Downtown Nashville

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

5/1 · Olly Murphy
✓ Value Signal

Anzac Day

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

12/1 · Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +32.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
87 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Live signal
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
53 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
57 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 5. Novelista
69.9 11/4
2 4. Downtown Nashville
69.0 5/1
3 2. Coastal Command
66.7 11/2
4 3. Moab
66.0 5/4
5 1. Anzac Day
60.8 12/1
YOUR DECISION

See your angle before you make your move

Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.

🐾 Your pick
No horse picked yet
Voting open now

Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.

Choose your horse →
🤖 AI view
Coastal Command
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

3
Age 6 · 11-4
5/4
★★★★☆ SR 119 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Age 4 · 11-1
11/4
★★★★☆ SR 156 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

4
Age 4 · 11-1
5/1
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-1 gives a real edge in this handicap.

2
Age 6 · 11-4
11/2
★★★★☆ SR 151 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-4 gives a real edge in this handicap.

1
Age 5 · 11-4
12/1
★★★☆☆ SR 145 🐾

SR 145 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Coastal Command
Confidence: Speculative

Coastal Command (SR:151, 5/1, Nicky Henderson 24% strike rate) is the standout on ability and connections. Henderson's yard at 24% from 151 runners is a formidable operation, and Nico de Boinville is a top-level booking that signals stable confidence after a 481-day absence — long layoffs from Henderson's yard frequently precede a planned campaign return. The SR of 151 ties Downtown Nashville but Coastal Command carries 3lb more (11-4 vs 11-1) yet the jockey quality and trainer's preparation pedigree more than compensates. While GoingFit is unknown (maiden hurdle career), the class step up (↑1) is offset by the SR ceiling being among the highest here, and Henderson doesn't run horses back off long breaks without targeting a win. Each-way alternative: Novelista. Main danger: Novelista — Novelista holds the highest SR in the field at 156, has GoingFit:+ on today's ground, and Warren Greatrex's 13% strike rate is respectable — if the 127-day break is fully wound out, this is the most talented horse in the race on SR alone.

Case against 4 clamped
  • 481-day absence is a severe fitness concern — Coastal Command's form reads '338-' with the dash indicating a pull-up or fall last time, suggesting the long layoff may be injury-related rather than a…
  • GoingFit listed as unknown across its entire maiden hurdle career, yet Fontwell's track characteristics demand proven jumping aptitude; no hurdle start evidence makes this a genuine suitability risk.
  • Novelista (SR:156, 3/1) holds a 5-point SR superiority and is 4 years younger, more recently raced (127 days) and shorter in the market — the primary pick is not even the best SR horse in the race.
  • Moab is the dominant market mover (+53 mark movement, in 7% on the day) suggesting sharp money has identified a rival; Coastal Command shows no corresponding market support despite the high-profile b…
Shortlist Coastal Command, Novelista, Downtown Nashville
Each-way: Novelista Danger: Novelista

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m3f29y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Fontwell Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade