← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Saltmoore Collection Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Besieged
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/4 Est. 30%
Mr Fox says
Besieged (SR 99, 9/4) is the clear class-leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 8 SR points clear of the next-best Teumessias Fox and Castle Stuart — and the form-string 2-2-1 shows a progressive 3-year-old peaking at exactly the right time. Running off ClassMv:= means no step up in class to worry about, and at 9-8 in weight the handicapper hasn't overloaded him. Trainer Harry Charlton runs at a solid 17% strike rate from 247 runners, giving real confidence in yard form. The 89-day absence is the one flag, but the market at 9/4 — implying ~31% — is aligned with this reading, and there is no sign of a drift to suggest any concern in the market. Each-way alternative: Dark Moon Rising. Main danger: Castle Stuart — Castle Stuart (SR 91, 7/2) is the second-highest-rated runner, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries only 9-10, holds Course:W0P3 at York, and has a gentle market move in (Mkt:in8%) — the Fahey yard flag as stable #1 over Have Secret adds further weight to his claims.
Full result
Winner: Stoneacre Donny (GB) at SP 7/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Stoneacre Donny 9/1
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2
Pearl River 12/1
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3
Castle Stuart Fox #2 10/3
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4
Have Secret 12/1
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5
Nesthorn 11/1
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6
Double Parked Fox #4 15/2
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7
Wahdan 14/1
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8
Duke's Command 20/1
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9
Teumessias Fox 12/1
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10
Empire Of Light 33/1
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11
Dhahabi 50/1
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12
Wanderlust 18/1
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13
Dark Moon Rising Fox #3 5/1
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14
Let's Dream 22/1
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15
Tuscan Hills 13/2
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—
Besieged Fox #1 9/4
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—
Noble Horizon -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Besieged 9/4
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2
Castle Stuart 7/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Dark Moon Rising 5/1 13TH
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4
Double Parked 7/1 6TH