Besieged
SpeculativeBesieged owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (55) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Saltmoore Collection Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) · 1m2f56y
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 86 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 61 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 88 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Noble Horizon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 Nesthorn | 11/1 open 19.00 | 12/1 open 26.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 11/1 open 21.00 | 12/1 Paddy Power |
| 3 Tuscan Hills | 13/2 open 8.00 | 13/2 open 6.50 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 15/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 7/1 open 7.00 | 15/2 Coral |
| 4 Teumessias Fox | 12/1 open 34.00 | 9/1 open 34.00 | 12/1 open 34.00 | 12/1 open 34.00 | 10/1 open 34.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 12/1 Bet365 |
| 5 Have Secret | 12/1 open 41.00 | 11/1 open 26.00 | 14/1 open 34.00 | 14/1 open 34.00 | 12/1 open 34.00 | 11/1 open 29.00 | 14/1 Coral |
| 6 Let's Dream | 22/1 open 13.00 | 30/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 12.00 | 33/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 open 12.00 | 28/1 open 13.00 | 33/1 Coral |
| 7 Duke's Command | 20/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 open 17.00 | 22/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 open 17.00 | 25/1 Coral |
| 8 Castle Stuart | 10/3 open 5.50 | 3/1 open 5.00 | 4/1 | 4/1 | 10/3 open 5.00 | 10/3 open 5.50 | 4/1 Coral |
| 9 Besieged | 9/4 open 3.00 | 9/4 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 15/8 open 3.00 | 9/4 open 3.00 | 5/2 open 3.00 | 5/2 Betfred |
| 10 Dark Moon Rising | 5/1 open 11.00 | 9/2 open 13.00 | 11/2 open 12.00 | 11/2 open 12.00 | 5/1 open 12.00 | 11/2 open 12.00 | 11/2 Coral |
| 11 Dhahabi | 50/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 101.00 | 50/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 open 81.00 | 40/1 open 81.00 | 50/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Empire Of Light | 33/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 40/1 open 21.00 | 33/1 open 19.00 | 40/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 Wahdan | 14/1 | 14/1 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 15.00 | 14/1 | 14/1 open 17.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 14 Double Parked | 15/2 open 13.00 | 7/1 open 15.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 17/2 open 13.00 | 15/2 open 13.00 | 8/1 open 13.00 | 17/2 Coral |
| 15 Wanderlust | 18/1 open 15.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 22/1 open 13.00 | 20/1 open 13.00 | 18/1 open 15.00 | 22/1 Coral |
| 16 Pearl River | 12/1 open 11.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 open 12.00 | 14/1 open 12.00 | 12/1 open 12.00 | 16/1 Coral |
| 17 Stoneacre Donny | 9/1 open 15.00 | 9/1 open 11.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 9/1 open 13.00 | 10/1 Coral |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Besieged owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (55) and market confidence (90). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 99 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 91 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 86 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 88 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 74 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
SR 81 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 80 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 73 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 63 suggests ability but 22/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Besieged (SR 99, 9/4) is the clear class-leader in this field by a meaningful margin — 8 SR points clear of the next-best Teumessias Fox and Castle Stuart — and the form-string 2-2-1 shows a progressive 3-year-old peaking at exactly the right time. Running off ClassMv:= means no step up in class to worry about, and at 9-8 in weight the handicapper hasn't overloaded him. Trainer Harry Charlton runs at a solid 17% strike rate from 247 runners, giving real confidence in yard form. The 89-day absence is the one flag, but the market at 9/4 — implying ~31% — is aligned with this reading, and there is no sign of a drift to suggest any concern in the market. Each-way alternative: Dark Moon Rising. Main danger: Castle Stuart — Castle Stuart (SR 91, 7/2) is the second-highest-rated runner, drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), carries only 9-10, holds Course:W0P3 at York, and has a gentle market move in (Mkt:in8%) — the Fahey yard flag as stable #1 over Have Secret adds further weight to his claims.