Eboracum Security Handicap Stakes

16:25 York Sun 06 Sep 2026 0m7f0y Class 3 Good 15 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Mr Noble

SPECULATIVE Advised 11/4 Est. 32%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Mr Noble (SR:103, 11/4) is the standout rated runner in this field — a full 3 points clear of Northern Express (SR:100) and 13+ points ahead of the rest — and crucially carries only 9-6, giving him a meaningful weight advantage over Northern Express (10-4) despite the class rise (↑1). His form reads 1-2321: a win last time out, placed in the two runs before that, and only 10 days since his last run, suggesting he arrives in peak condition. GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ confirm he handles today's good ground and 7f trip comfortably, and the market has shortened 28% since opening — money that knows what it's doing at a track where he's placed twice (Course:W0P2). The class rise is the one legitimate concern, but the SR lead and weight relief make him the clear value-adjusted pick. Each-way alternative: Northern Express. Main danger: Northern Express — Northern Express (SR:100, 9/2) has course form (W1P2 at York), is dropping a class (↓1), and despite a DistFit:- flag his recent run of 635513 shows consistent presence in the frame — his experience and proven York affinity make him the most likely to reverse form with Mr Noble if the favourite doesn't handle the step up in class.

Verify· #16433

Full result

Winner: Power Fizz (IRE) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.