He's A Monster arrives on the back of a win last time out and has experience of today's distance and going, with a speed rating of 95 underlining his claims; the concern is a layoff of 378 days, which leaves his fitness on trust.
Form last 6/3061-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
67SR99RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 67 suggests ability but 20/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Third last time out following a win the start before, Northern Express brings strong recent form to this assignment, has run over today's trip and going, and his rating of 106 puts him clear at the top of this 15-runner field; 36 days between runs is the only minor query.
Form last 6635513
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
100SR106RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 100 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts, Bobby Bennu nonetheless shaped with promise when second one start back, and having run over today's trip and going before, he arrives carrying 141 lb from stall seven with fitness intact after 39 days; the risk is he has yet to convert that placed effort into something more decisive.
Form last 650-420
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
88SR97RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 88 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Power Fizz won two of his last five starts, including a victory three starts back, but has been unplaced in his two most recent outings; he has run over today's trip and going, though 141 lb from stall 11 makes life no easier as he bids to rediscover that form.
Form last 614-100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR94RPR94OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Houquetot has run over today's trip and going before and, with our rating of 98 lending him strong claims against this field, he shapes as a genuine danger from stall ten carrying 139 lb; the concern is that he has been winless in his last five starts.
Form last 665-974
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
90SR98RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 90 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Great Dream won one start back but has since disappointed, finishing seventh last time out, and while he has experience over today's trip and conditions, 138 lb from stall 14 makes life harder for a gelding ranked mid-field on ratings.
Form last 63-6917
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR93RPR91OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Khafiz is yet to win in his last six starts, though back-to-back fourth-place finishes one and two runs back show he can get competitive, and he has experience of today's distance and going; the 136 lb burden is a stiff ask.
Form last 6500440
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR94RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ranked 14 of 15 on our figures, Utmost Good Faith has been unplaced in his last two starts and carries a hefty 135 lb from stall nine, making him hard to fancy; his sole win in recent starts came immediately before that pair, and experience over today's trip and going is about the best that can be said for him.
Form last 6605100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
56SR86RPR92OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 56 suggests ability but 125/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 11 of 15 on our figures, Humam faces a stiff ask from stall 12 carrying 135 lb, though he has run over today's trip and going before and a third one start back offers a crumb of encouragement.
Form last 6003038
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
58SR88RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won last time out and shaped well when second the start before, but he drops to eighth in a field of fifteen on our rating and that speed figure of 81 is a mild concern; the trainer's 26% strike rate over the past fortnight keeps him firmly in the mix.
Form last 61-2321
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
103SR93RPR89OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 103 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Landed a win three starts back but has been unplaced in both outings since, and that patchy recent form is the concern; he has run over today's distance and going before, and 36 days fresh off a break could spark a revival from stall two carrying 132 lb.
Form last 699-100
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR89RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 66/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Won earlier in the campaign but has been well held in both runs since, and while he has run over today's trip and going before, 130 lb from stall 15 makes life harder for a horse who needs to rediscover that winning form.
Form last 62-4169
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR91RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last six starts — all six resulting in second — Woohoo is hard to fancy ranked bottom of the field on our figures, though she has run over today's distance and going before and returns after just 17 days off the mark.
Form last 6222222
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR82RPR78OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 12 of 15 on our figures, First Time is hard to fancy here, though he has run over today's trip and going before and does emerge placed third on two occasions in recent starts.
Form last 6-06335
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR87RPR81OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last six starts and ranked 13 of 15 on our figures, Quest For Fun faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a couple of recent thirds offer slim encouragement, but the overall profile makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 6955303
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR86RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Northern Express owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (56) and market confidence (75). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
11/2Michael DodsConnor Beasley
67%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Mr Noble
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/4 · K. R. Burke✓ Value Signal
Utmost Good Faith
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
125/1 · Stuart Williams◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Mr Noble (SR:103, 11/4) is the standout rated runner in this field — a full 3 points clear of Northern Express (SR:100) and 13+ points ahead of the rest — and crucially carries only 9-6, giving him a meaningful weight advantage over Northern Express (10-4) despite the class rise (↑1). His form reads 1-2321: a win last time out, placed in the two runs before that, and only 10 days since his last run, suggesting he arrives in peak condition. GoingFit:+ and DistFit:+ confirm he handles today's good ground and 7f trip comfortably, and the market has shortened 28% since opening — money that knows what it's doing at a track where he's placed twice (Course:W0P2). The class rise is the one legitimate concern, but the SR lead and weight relief make him the clear value-adjusted pick.
Each-way alternative: Northern Express.
Main danger: Northern Express — Northern Express (SR:100, 9/2) has course form (W1P2 at York), is dropping a class (↓1), and despite a DistFit:- flag his recent run of 635513 shows consistent presence in the frame — his experience and proven York affinity make him the most likely to reverse form with Mr Noble if the favourite doesn't handle the step up in class.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Mr Noble is a 3-year-old stepping into a 15-runner handicap at York in September, facing a largely aged field with proven course experience — his Course:W0P2 record shows placed but never won here, a…
MarkMv:+5 indicates his handicap mark has risen 5 points since his last winning run, meaning the assessor has already reacted to that victory; this class rise (↑1) combined with a higher official mar…
Northern Express (SR:100, W1P2 at course, 36 days fresh) carries 10-4 but has a winning record at York and races regularly in this grade — Mr Noble has no York win to draw on despite two placed effor…
Clifford Lee's 15% strike rate across 397 rides is modest, and in big-field handicaps at a track like York where draw and positioning are critical, there is no draw data visible to confirm Mr Noble h…