← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Devonport Royal Dockyard Social Club Handicap Hurdle Race
Mr Fox’s call
My Girl Katie
SPECULATIVE Advised 2/1 Est. 35%
Mr Fox says
My Girl Katie (SR 101, 2/1) arrives on a devastating recent run of 1-1-1 — three consecutive wins — and crucially owns the strongest course record in the field (W4P6 at Newton Abbot), confirming she is a proven specialist here. She is DistFit:+ and GoingFit:+ for today's conditions, meaning every key variable checks out. The market has shortened 8% to 2/1, showing clear informed confidence. Although stepping up a class (ClassMv:↑1) and carrying a 4lb higher mark than her last win, her 8lb weight advantage over top-weight Jager Time (12-0 vs 11-1) is a material equaliser in a 3m2f hurdle on good ground, and her SR of 101 is essentially level with Jager Time's 102 on far more favourable terms. Each-way alternative: Jager Time. Main danger: Jager Time — Jager Time (SR 102, 9/4) holds the highest SR in the field and a W1P2 course record at Newton Abbot, and while the 7% market drift and +6lb mark rise are concerns, a 7-year-old at peak age with form 1-4321 retains enough class to win if My Girl Katie finds the class rise too much.
Full result
Winner: Fairlawn Skipper (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Fairlawn Skipper 13/2
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2
My Girl Katie Fox #1 7/4
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3
Jager Time Fox #2 5/2
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4
Alberts Bay 7/1
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5
Bashful Boy Fox #3 14/1
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6
Henry Box Brown 9/1
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7
Masterdream 14/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
My Girl Katie 2/1 🥈 2ND
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2
Jager Time 9/4 🥉 3RD
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3
Bashful Boy 12/1 5TH