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15:50 Perth Mon 07 Sep 2026 2m7f180y Class 4 Good 5 runners

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Mr Fox’s call

Inis Oirr silks

Inis Oirr

SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 35%

Mr Fox says

Inis Oirr (SR:113, 10/3) is the most compelling package in this small field. The 26% market move in is the strongest positive signal in the race — money is moving decisively on a horse dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) with proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and three places at this exact course (Course:W0P3). At 11-2, it carries the lightest realistic weight among the credible runners, giving it a meaningful lbs edge over top-weight Regal Renaissance (12-0, 21lb more). The form string 91-223 shows consistent placing and the cheekpieces (HG:p) suggests connections are trying to sharpen it up; combined with the class drop, this is a horse being set up to win. Each-way alternative: Sir Carnegie. Main danger: Regal Renaissance — Regal Renaissance (SR:121, the highest in the field) has won three of its last four starts with Sean Bowen booked, and recent form 1113 on good going (GoingFit:+) confirms it is in peak condition — the 14% market drift is a concern but could simply reflect the weight burden (12-0) rather than any stable doubt.

Verify· #16516

Full result

Winner: Sir Carnegie (IRE) at SP 2/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.

  1. 1 Sir Carnegie silks Sir Carnegie Fox #3 Mickey Bowen · Brian Hughes 2/1
  2. 2 Regal Renaissance silks Regal Renaissance Fox #2 Jack Jones · Sean Bowen 6/5
  3. 3 No Regrets silks No Regrets Nicky Richards · Danny McMenamin 4/1
  4. 4 Wasdell Dundalk silks Wasdell Dundalk Lisa Harrison · Callum Bewley 10/1
  5. — Inis Oirr silks Inis Oirr Fox #1 Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore · Gregor Walkingshaw(10) -

Top 4 — how each finished

  1. 1 Inis Oirr silks Inis Oirr 10/3
  2. 2 Regal Renaissance silks Regal Renaissance 7/4 🥈 2ND
  3. 3 Sir Carnegie silks Sir Carnegie 7/2 SP 2/1 🏆 WON