Regal Renaissance arrives here in fine heart, winning three of her last five starts with a victory two runs back, and she handles today's distance and going, making her the clear profile pick despite a 47-day absence and 168 lb to carry.
Form last 62-1113
★AI Rating★★★★☆
121SR117RPR120OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 121 backed by market confidence at 7/4 — a genuine contender.
Rated highest in the field and has run over this trip before, Wasdell Dundalk catches the eye on the back of a runner-up finish one start ago and has experience of today's distance and going; the main concern is the pullup last time out after 57 days off, leaving his current fitness an open question.
Form last 64-642P
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
96SR117RPR112OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 96 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
No Regrets shaped as a genuine threat when a close second last time out, and was a winner two starts back; he has experience of today's trip and conditions, and a rating of 114 underlines his claims — the main concern is whether 93 days off the track leaves him short of peak fitness.
Form last 6248-12
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
110SR114RPR111OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Inis Oirr arrives here with a fine run of form — second two starts back and third last time out — and he has experience of today's distance and going, so conditions should hold no fears; the main concern is a 57-day absence.
Form last 691-223
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
113SR110RPR108OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 113 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Back-to-back wins three and four starts back give Sir Carnegie some profile, but he has finished fifth and sixth in his last two outings and is ranked last of the five runners on our figures, making him difficult to recommend despite a trainer hitting 26% in the last 14 days.
Form last 6-31165
★AI Rating★★★★☆
111SR97RPR101OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
Favourable weight of 10-9 gives a real edge in this handicap.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Regal Renaissance owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (67) and market confidence (94). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/5Jack JonesSean Bowen
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Sir Carnegie
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
2/1 · Mickey Bowen✓ Value Signal
Inis Oirr
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
- · Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Inis Oirr (SR:113, 10/3) is the most compelling package in this small field. The 26% market move in is the strongest positive signal in the race — money is moving decisively on a horse dropping a class (ClassMv:↓1) with proven distance fitness (DistFit:+) and three places at this exact course (Course:W0P3). At 11-2, it carries the lightest realistic weight among the credible runners, giving it a meaningful lbs edge over top-weight Regal Renaissance (12-0, 21lb more). The form string 91-223 shows consistent placing and the cheekpieces (HG:p) suggests connections are trying to sharpen it up; combined with the class drop, this is a horse being set up to win.
Each-way alternative: Sir Carnegie.
Main danger: Regal Renaissance — Regal Renaissance (SR:121, the highest in the field) has won three of its last four starts with Sean Bowen booked, and recent form 1113 on good going (GoingFit:+) confirms it is in peak condition — the 14% market drift is a concern but could simply reflect the weight burden (12-0) rather than any stable doubt.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Trainer Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore strike rate is just 5% (111 runs) — well below field average — making the market move less convincing as a yard signal.
Jockey Gregor Walkingshaw has only 10 recorded rides in the data with no win rate shown, a significant booking downgrade versus Hughes (15%) and Bowen (23%) on rivals.
Sir Carnegie (SR:111, 7/2) has a course win AND three places, ran only 16 days ago showing peak fitness, and is taking 7lb off Inis Oirr — a sharper, more recently-tuned rival on the same track.
Form 91-223 includes a pulled-up or well-beaten run (the '9') and the three places are all places, not wins — cheekpieces fitting first time can be a concern flag as much as a positive if the horse h…
ShortlistInis Oirr, Regal Renaissance, Sir Carnegie