Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting Uk Racing Nursery Handicap Stakes

15:12 Windsor Mon 07 Sep 2026 0m6f12y Class 6 Good 15 runners

Mr Fox’s call

Past Passion

SPECULATIVE Advised 4/1 Est. 28%

🥉 3RD

Mr Fox says

Past Passion holds the highest SR in the field at 68, a clear edge over the next-best Tallahassee Lassie (SR:64) and Devon Angel (SR:59), and the market has emphatically endorsed this view with a 21% inward move to 4/1 favourite. The class drop of two tiers (ClassMv:↓2) into a Class 6 nursery is significant, and the weight of 9-8 is manageable in this company. Although the GoingFit is flagged negative, the 6f12y trip is unexplored (DistFit:?) rather than proven poor, so there is no hard distance flag to dismiss, and the Jonathan Portman/Jason Watson combination runs at a steady 12-13% strike rate with 433 and 933 career runners respectively — a professional, experienced booking that aligns with intent. Each-way alternative: Tallahassee Lassie. Main danger: Tallahassee Lassie — Tallahassee Lassie carries the second-highest SR (64) at a very attractive 9-7, has steamed 27% in the market, is trained by James Fanshawe (18% strike rate — the best trainer stat in the field), and drops four class tiers which is a massive ease in grade that could mask the recent negative DistFit flag.

Verify· #16502

Full result

Winner: Wopbopaloomop (GB) at SP 8/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.