Matchbook Betting Exchange Supporting Uk Racing Nursery Handicap Stakes · 0m6f12y
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
SR 68 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 64 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
SR 43 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
SR 31 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.
SR 53 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 47 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 18 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 20 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Blue Skies Above | 8/1 | 8/1 open 11.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 10.00 | 15/2 open 10.00 | 7/1 open 8.50 | 8/1 Bet365 |
| 2 Past Passion | 9/2 open 6.50 | 7/2 open 5.50 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 4/1 open 6.00 | 9/2 Bet365 |
| 3 From Me To You | 16/1 open 13.00 | 14/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 13.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 4 Tallahassee Lassie | 11/2 open 11.00 | 5/1 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 11/2 open 10.00 | 5/1 open 8.50 | 11/2 Bet365 |
| 5 Wopbopaloomop | 7/1 open 9.00 | 13/2 open 8.50 | 15/2 | 15/2 | 7/1 | 6/1 | 15/2 Coral |
| 6 Lola | 28/1 open 41.00 | 25/1 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 28/1 open 34.00 | 25/1 | 28/1 Bet365 |
| 7 Dream On Kent | 22/1 open 34.00 | 22/1 open 26.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 22/1 open 29.00 | 20/1 open 23.00 | 22/1 Bet365 |
| 8 Marralyn | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 open 34.00 | 40/1 | 40/1 Bet365 |
| 9 Courage Best | 6/1 open 5.50 | 11/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 6.00 | 6/1 open 6.00 | 13/2 open 7.00 | 13/2 Coral |
| 10 Havananother | 14/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 6.50 | 16/1 open 7.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 11 Alpha Legend | 6/1 open 17.00 | 6/1 open 17.00 | 6/1 open 17.00 | 6/1 open 17.00 | 5/1 open 17.00 | 11/2 open 15.00 | 6/1 Bet365 |
| 12 Cruse On Bye | 66/1 open 34.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 41.00 | 80/1 open 51.00 | 80/1 Paddy Power |
| 13 So Tempting | 14/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 16/1 open 10.00 | 12/1 open 9.50 | 14/1 open 11.00 | 16/1 Paddy Power |
| 14 Devon Angel | 11/2 open 4.50 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.33 | 11/2 open 4.33 | 6/1 open 4.50 | 6/1 Coral |
| 15 Purple Dream | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 open 51.00 | 66/1 | 66/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Past Passion owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (38) and market confidence (79). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalSR 68 suggests ability but 4/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 64 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 59 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 53 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 49 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 57 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 8/1.
SR 47 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
SR 40 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
SR 39 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
Past Passion holds the highest SR in the field at 68, a clear edge over the next-best Tallahassee Lassie (SR:64) and Devon Angel (SR:59), and the market has emphatically endorsed this view with a 21% inward move to 4/1 favourite. The class drop of two tiers (ClassMv:↓2) into a Class 6 nursery is significant, and the weight of 9-8 is manageable in this company. Although the GoingFit is flagged negative, the 6f12y trip is unexplored (DistFit:?) rather than proven poor, so there is no hard distance flag to dismiss, and the Jonathan Portman/Jason Watson combination runs at a steady 12-13% strike rate with 433 and 933 career runners respectively — a professional, experienced booking that aligns with intent. Each-way alternative: Tallahassee Lassie. Main danger: Tallahassee Lassie — Tallahassee Lassie carries the second-highest SR (64) at a very attractive 9-7, has steamed 27% in the market, is trained by James Fanshawe (18% strike rate — the best trainer stat in the field), and drops four class tiers which is a massive ease in grade that could mask the recent negative DistFit flag.