← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)
Mr Fox’s call
Princess Felicia
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Princess Felicia (SR:84, 7/2, Wgt:10-12) is the standout on ability in this 23-runner handicap hurdle. Her SR of 84 is the highest in the field, she carries a manageable 10-12 — a significant weight advantage over top-weights Clone Cross (11-12) and Deise Crystal (11-11) — and her recent form of U/3-21 shows a last-time-out win, demonstrating current peak fitness. Trainer David Harry Kelly strikes at 10% and jockey Peter Smithers at 11%, both respectable for this level. The MarkMv:+6 is a concern as she runs off a 6lb higher mark than her last win, but her SR edge over the field compensates, and at 7/2 in a wide-open field she represents clear value. Each-way alternative: Joshua Chamberlain. Main danger: John Storey — John Storey (SR:75, 17/2) has steamed dramatically in the market — Mkt:in40% is the strongest move in the entire field — suggesting significant stable confidence behind a horse fitted with a tongue-piece for the first time, and at 11-5 he carries a manageable weight.
Full result
Winner: Moonshine Girl (IRE) at SP 9/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Moonshine Girl 14/1
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2
Ladiam 11/1
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3
Joshua Chamberlain Fox #2 8/1
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4
Gypsy Poet 14/1
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5
Barryroe Madam 22/1
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6
Phildante 16/1
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7
Monty's Way 25/1
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8
El Arco 22/1
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9
Katie's Casper 18/1
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10
Clone Cross Fox #3 17/2
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11
Fair Damsel 33/1
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12
Coup d'Essay 14/1
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13
Princess Felicia Fox #1 7/2
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14
The Little Yank 33/1
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—
Deise Crystal 15/2
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John Storey Fox #4 8/1
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Hickeys Hill 18/1
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Ranger Billy 33/1
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Scarlet Purse 16/1
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Tedworth 14/1
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Trackman Tommy 25/1
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Lucky This Time 33/1
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Kilkee Bay 16/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Princess Felicia 7/2 13TH
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2
Joshua Chamberlain 15/2 🥉 3RD
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3
Clone Cross 17/2 10TH
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4
John Storey 17/2