Galway 17:41 RESULTED
7 Sep 2026

Monday 7 September WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I) · 2m6f97y

Official Result

WTW Willis Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Moonshine Girl (IRE) Miss J Townend · Paul John Gilligan
    9/1
  2. Second Ladiam (IRE)
    16/1
  3. 9/1
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Settled
  • 23 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Clone Cross silks
Clone Cross
Age 5 · 11-12
2P3F23
97
79
95
5
11-12
17/2 13/2 8/1
Clone Cross has placed consistently in recent starts, finishing third last time out and second two starts back, though he remains yet to win and his 166 lb burden is a stiff ask; rates sixth on our figures and returns on a workable 31-day break.
AI verdict

SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Deise Crystal silks
Deise Crystal
Age 5 · 11-11
P-2354
96
75
93
5
11-11
15/2 13/2 7/1
Winless in his last five starts, Deise Crystal does show some consistency — a third three starts back and a second four starts back — but a pulled up five starts back and a weight of 165 lb make improvement hard to fancy, despite a return after just 16 days.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Joshua Chamberlain silks
Joshua Chamberlain
Age 9 · 11-10
15/042
95
82
96
9
11-10
8/1 7/1 8/1
Joshua Chamberlain arrives fit on a 14-day turnaround, second last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, and his rating of 96 marks him as the fourth-best in a 23-runner field; the concern is that he has been in and out of form in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Fair Damsel silks
Fair Damsel
Age 8 · 11-8
60-5D0
93
58
96
8
11-8
33/1 FCST 28/1
Fair Damsel arrives here winless in her last five starts, with the disruption of a disqualification among those efforts doing her no favours, though she has run over today's going before and our rating of 96 suggests she holds a shade more ability than her official mark implies.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

5
John Storey silks
John Storey
Age 8 · 11-5
P4PP-3
90
75
92
8
11-5
8/1 12/1 7/1
John Storey has run over today's distance and going before, but two pulled-up efforts in his last three starts are a concern, and he carries 159 lb off a mark of 90; third last time out offers mild encouragement for a gelding yet to win in recent starts.
AI verdict

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ladiam silks
Ladiam
Age 9 · 11-5
-55347
90
76
94
9
11-5
11/1 9/1 10/1
Ladiam arrives here on the back of a seventh last time out and remains winless in her last five starts, though a third three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement; she has experience over today's trip and going, but 159 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
AI verdict

SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

7
The Little Yank silks
The Little Yank
Age 11 · 11-5
PP-337
90
60
98
11
11-5
33/1 28/1 33/1
Twice third in recent starts, The Little Yank heads this field on our ratings and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a solid profile at 159 lb; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts and pulled up twice in that sequence.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

8
Barryroe Madam silks
Barryroe Madam
Age 7 · 11-3
0-0040
88
63
91
7
11-3
22/1 16/1 22/1
Winless in her last five starts, Barryroe Madam does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a fourth two starts back suggests she retains some ability; however, a hefty 157 lb and a ranking of 11 of 23 on our figures make it hard to see her dominating from midfield.
AI verdict

SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

9
Hickeys Hill silks
Hickeys Hill
Age 7 · 11-1
015-90
86
64
82
7
11-1
18/1 14/1 18/1
Shaped with promise when winning four starts back, but Hickeys Hill has not recaptured that form since, finishing unplaced last time out after 53 days off; he has going experience to call on, though carrying 155 lb and a rating of 82 leaves him with plenty to find.
AI verdict

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

10
Coup d'Essay silks
Coup d'Essay
Age 5 · 11-0
87-7P9
85
61
81
5
11-0
14/1 FCST 12/1
Winless in his last five starts, with a pulled-up effort two starts back hardly inspiring confidence, Coup d'Essay carries 154 lb for a trainer in poor current form, and a rating of 81 ranked 16 of 23 leaves him with plenty to find against today's field.
AI verdict

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

11
Princess Felicia silks
Princess Felicia
Age 7 · 10-12
U/3-21
83
84
76
7
10-12
7/2
Ranked a long way below the top of the weights at 152 lb and sitting well adrift of the field on our figures, Princess Felicia is hard to fancy, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has experience over today's trip and going.
AI verdict

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

12
Ranger Billy silks
Ranger Billy
Age 10 · 10-11
-PP370
82
54
88
10
10-11
33/1 FCST 28/1
Winless in his last five starts and having pulled up twice in recent outings, Ranger Billy faces a stiff task under 151 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a third three starts back shows he retains some ability on a good day.
AI verdict

SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

13
Scarlet Purse silks
Scarlet Purse
Age 7 · 10-11
000-97
82
57
80
7
10-11
16/1 18/1 16/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 17th of 23 on our figures, Scarlet Purse faces a stiff task under 151 lb, though the fitness angle is fine fresh off a run ten days ago.
AI verdict

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

14
Tedworth silks
Tedworth
Age 6 · 10-11
1-4U74
82
62
83
6
10-11
14/1 FCST 12/1
Tedworth has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a quick ten-day turnaround in reasonable nick, but his recent form reads 4th, 7th, unseated and 4th in his last four, with his sole win coming five starts back; a rise to 151 lb makes things no easier.
AI verdict

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

15
Katie's Casper silks
Katie's Casper
Age 7 · 10-9
-95250
80
60
83
7
10-9
18/1 14/1 18/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 14th of 23 in this field, Katie's Casper has the distance and going experience in her favour, but an unplaced effort last time out after 46 days off and a burdensome 149 lb make confidence hard to muster.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

16
Moonshine Girl silks
Moonshine Girl
Age 7 · 10-9
-72240
80
72
78
7
10-9
14/1 12/1 14/1
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 18th of 23 on our figures, Moonshine Girl faces a stiff task under 149 lb, though she has experience of today's trip and going and recent form includes a couple of second-place finishes.
AI verdict

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

17
Phildante silks
Phildante
Age 9 · 10-8
-64F10
79
68
76
9
10-8
16/1 12/1 14/1
Phildante has won once in her last five starts, and a fall two runs back clouds her recent profile; ranked 19 of 23 on our figures, she faces a stiff task here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns fit on a 14-day turnaround.
AI verdict

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

18
Monty's Way silks
Monty's Way
Age 8 · 10-5
P0-008
76
57
97
8
10-5
25/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts, Monty's Way nonetheless catches the eye on our ratings, where he ranks second of 23 runners, and he arrives here fit on a ten-day turnaround with going experience in his favour; the risk is a recent sequence that offers little encouragement.
AI verdict

SR 57 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

19
El Arco silks
El Arco
Age 5 · 10-2
8795-0
73
51
74
5
10-2
22/1 20/1 22/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 21 of 23 on our figures, El Arco faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's going before and 19 days between runs leaves him reasonably fresh, but the overall profile makes him hard to fancy.
AI verdict

SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.

20
Gypsy Poet silks
Gypsy Poet
Age 5 · 10-2
876-07
73
61
69
5
10-2
14/1
Winless in his last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Gypsy Poet carries 142 lb with little recent form to commend him, though a run just 10 days ago at least means he comes here fit.
AI verdict

SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

21
Trackman Tommy silks
Trackman Tommy
Age 8 · 11-1
P/PR1-
Reserve 1
86
60
94
8
11-1
25/1
Bounced back to score last time out, but two pulled ups and a refusal earlier in the sequence raise clear jumping concerns, and 204 days off the track adds further uncertainty despite experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

22
Lucky This Time silks
Lucky This Time
Age 5 · 10-4
/0000-
Reserve 2
75
45
65
5
10-4
33/1
Winless in his last four starts and off the track for over a year, Lucky This Time faces a stiff task on these figures, ranked last of the 23 runners; 144 lb is no help, though he returns with a clean slate fitness-wise after the lengthy absence.
AI verdict

SR 45 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

23
Kilkee Bay silks
Kilkee Bay
Age 7 · 11-5
U8125U
Reserve 3
90
72
97
7
11-5
16/1
Kilkee Bay shaped well when second three starts back and scoring four starts back, and he returns on a surface and trip he has encountered before, 18 days after his last run, which keeps him fresh and competitive on a mark of 90 with our figures suggesting more in reserve.
AI verdict

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Clone Cross 17/2 open 8.50 17/2 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 7.50 17/2 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 17/2 Bet365
2 Deise Crystal 15/2 open 7.50 7/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 Coral
3 Joshua Chamberlain 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 Bet365
4 Fair Damsel 33/1 30/1 open 29.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Bet365
5 John Storey 8/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 7/1 open 15.00 15/2 open 13.00 7/1 open 13.00 8/1 Bet365
6 Ladiam 11/1 open 11.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 11/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 10/1 open 10.00 11/1 Bet365
7 The Little Yank 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 open 29.00 33/1 Bet365
8 Barryroe Madam 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 19.00 22/1 open 17.00 22/1 Bet365
9 Hickeys Hill 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 15.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365
10 Coup d'Essay 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
11 Princess Felicia 7/2 open 5.00 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 Bet365
12 Ranger Billy 33/1 30/1 open 29.00 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 33/1 Bet365
13 Scarlet Purse 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 open 19.00 16/1 Bet365
14 Tedworth 14/1 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 12/1 14/1 open 13.00 12/1 14/1 Bet365
15 Katie's Casper 18/1 open 15.00 20/1 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 17.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 open 19.00 20/1 Paddy Power
16 Moonshine Girl 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 Bet365
17 Phildante 16/1 open 13.00 18/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 14/1 open 13.00 18/1 Paddy Power
18 Monty's Way 25/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 25/1 Bet365
19 El Arco 22/1 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 open 21.00 22/1 Bet365
20 Gypsy Poet 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 Bet365
21 Trackman Tommy 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 Bet365
22 Lucky This Time 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 33/1 Bet365
23 Kilkee Bay 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Princess Felicia

Speculative

Princess Felicia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/2 David Harry Kelly Peter Smithers(5)
73% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

John Storey

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

8/1 · Ian Patrick Donoghue
✓ Value Signal

The Little Yank

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

33/1 · John Patrick Ryan
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.7 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
84 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +18.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
37 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.7 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
49 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.9 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
56 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.4 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 11. Princess Felicia
54.4 7/2
2 5. John Storey
50.6 8/1
3 2. Deise Crystal
49.9 15/2
4 3. Joshua Chamberlain
49.7 8/1
5 1. Clone Cross
48.8 17/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Princess Felicia
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

11
Age 7 · 10-12
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 5 · 11-11
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Age 9 · 11-10
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 8 · 11-5
8/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 75 🐾

SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 5 · 11-12
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 79 🐾

SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Age 9 · 11-5
11/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 76 🐾

SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Age 5 · 11-0
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

14
Age 6 · 10-11
14/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 62 🐾

SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

16
Age 7 · 10-9
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

20
Age 5 · 10-2
14/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 61 🐾

SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

13
Age 7 · 10-11
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 57 🐾

SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

17
Age 9 · 10-8
16/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 68 🐾

SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.

23
Age 7 · 11-5
16/1
J: Reserve 3
T: E McNamara
★☆☆☆☆ SR 72 🐾

SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.

9
Age 7 · 11-1
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 64 🐾

SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.

15
Age 7 · 10-9
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Princess Felicia
Confidence: Speculative

Princess Felicia (SR:84, 7/2, Wgt:10-12) is the standout on ability in this 23-runner handicap hurdle. Her SR of 84 is the highest in the field, she carries a manageable 10-12 — a significant weight advantage over top-weights Clone Cross (11-12) and Deise Crystal (11-11) — and her recent form of U/3-21 shows a last-time-out win, demonstrating current peak fitness. Trainer David Harry Kelly strikes at 10% and jockey Peter Smithers at 11%, both respectable for this level. The MarkMv:+6 is a concern as she runs off a 6lb higher mark than her last win, but her SR edge over the field compensates, and at 7/2 in a wide-open field she represents clear value. Each-way alternative: Joshua Chamberlain. Main danger: John Storey — John Storey (SR:75, 17/2) has steamed dramatically in the market — Mkt:in40% is the strongest move in the entire field — suggesting significant stable confidence behind a horse fitted with a tongue-piece for the first time, and at 11-5 he carries a manageable weight.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+6 means the handicapper has raised her 6lb for her last-time-out win — a meaningful step up in mark that makes winning off this new rating considerably harder, especially in a 23-runner field.
  • Joshua Chamberlain (SR:82) carries 10lb less than top-weight and only 2lb more than Princess Felicia while running off a likely lower mark; in a big-field Galway handicap, lighter-weighted rivals can…
  • Jockey Peter Smithers has only 76 rides in the data sample with an 11% strike rate — limited big-field Galway festival experience is a concern when positional decisions in a 23-runner hurdle are crit…
  • Form of U/3-21 is only four runs deep with a fall/unseated (U) in the sequence; jumping reliability under pressure in a hectic 23-runner hurdle at Galway is not yet proven over a large sample.
Shortlist Princess Felicia, Joshua Chamberlain, Clone Cross, John Storey
Each-way: Joshua Chamberlain Danger: John Storey

🗺 The Course Race conditions

2m6f97y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
23 Confirmed runners
Galway Track and setting