Clone Cross has placed consistently in recent starts, finishing third last time out and second two starts back, though he remains yet to win and his 166 lb burden is a stiff ask; rates sixth on our figures and returns on a workable 31-day break.
Form last 62P3F23
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
79SR95RPR97OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 79 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts, Deise Crystal does show some consistency — a third three starts back and a second four starts back — but a pulled up five starts back and a weight of 165 lb make improvement hard to fancy, despite a return after just 16 days.
Form last 6P-2354
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR93RPR96OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Joshua Chamberlain arrives fit on a 14-day turnaround, second last time out and has run over today's trip and going before, and his rating of 96 marks him as the fourth-best in a 23-runner field; the concern is that he has been in and out of form in recent starts.
Form last 615/042
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
82SR96RPR95OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Fair Damsel arrives here winless in her last five starts, with the disruption of a disqualification among those efforts doing her no favours, though she has run over today's going before and our rating of 96 suggests she holds a shade more ability than her official mark implies.
Form last 660-5D0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR96RPR93OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
John Storey has run over today's distance and going before, but two pulled-up efforts in his last three starts are a concern, and he carries 159 lb off a mark of 90; third last time out offers mild encouragement for a gelding yet to win in recent starts.
Form last 6P4PP-3
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
75SR92RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 75 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Ladiam arrives here on the back of a seventh last time out and remains winless in her last five starts, though a third three starts back offers a crumb of encouragement; she has experience over today's trip and going, but 159 lb is a stiff burden to overcome.
Form last 6-55347
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
76SR94RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Twice third in recent starts, The Little Yank heads this field on our ratings and has run over today's trip and going, giving him a solid profile at 159 lb; the risk is that he has been winless in his last five starts and pulled up twice in that sequence.
Form last 6PP-337
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR98RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Barryroe Madam does at least bring distance and going experience to the table, and a fourth two starts back suggests she retains some ability; however, a hefty 157 lb and a ranking of 11 of 23 on our figures make it hard to see her dominating from midfield.
Form last 60-0040
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
63SR91RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 63 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Shaped with promise when winning four starts back, but Hickeys Hill has not recaptured that form since, finishing unplaced last time out after 53 days off; he has going experience to call on, though carrying 155 lb and a rating of 82 leaves him with plenty to find.
Form last 6015-90
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
64SR82RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 64 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Winless in his last five starts, with a pulled-up effort two starts back hardly inspiring confidence, Coup d'Essay carries 154 lb for a trainer in poor current form, and a rating of 81 ranked 16 of 23 leaves him with plenty to find against today's field.
Form last 687-7P9
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
61SR81RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Ranked a long way below the top of the weights at 152 lb and sitting well adrift of the field on our figures, Princess Felicia is hard to fancy, though she does arrive on the back of a win last time out and has experience over today's trip and going.
Form last 6U/3-21
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
84SR76RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last five starts and having pulled up twice in recent outings, Ranger Billy faces a stiff task under 151 lb, though he has run over today's distance and going before and a third three starts back shows he retains some ability on a good day.
Form last 6-PP370
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
54SR88RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 17th of 23 on our figures, Scarlet Purse faces a stiff task under 151 lb, though the fitness angle is fine fresh off a run ten days ago.
Form last 6000-97
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR80RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Tedworth has run over today's trip and going, and returns on a quick ten-day turnaround in reasonable nick, but his recent form reads 4th, 7th, unseated and 4th in his last four, with his sole win coming five starts back; a rise to 151 lb makes things no easier.
Form last 61-4U74
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
62SR83RPR82OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 62 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 14th of 23 in this field, Katie's Casper has the distance and going experience in her favour, but an unplaced effort last time out after 46 days off and a burdensome 149 lb make confidence hard to muster.
Form last 6-95250
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR83RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last five starts and ranked 18th of 23 on our figures, Moonshine Girl faces a stiff task under 149 lb, though she has experience of today's trip and going and recent form includes a couple of second-place finishes.
Form last 6-72240
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
72SR78RPR80OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Phildante has won once in her last five starts, and a fall two runs back clouds her recent profile; ranked 19 of 23 on our figures, she faces a stiff task here, though she has run over today's trip and going before and returns fit on a 14-day turnaround.
Form last 6-64F10
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
68SR76RPR79OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 68 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 14/1.
Winless in his last five starts, Monty's Way nonetheless catches the eye on our ratings, where he ranks second of 23 runners, and he arrives here fit on a ten-day turnaround with going experience in his favour; the risk is a recent sequence that offers little encouragement.
Form last 6P0-008
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR97RPR76OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 25/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked 21 of 23 on our figures, El Arco faces a stiff task here; he has run over today's going before and 19 days between runs leaves him reasonably fresh, but the overall profile makes him hard to fancy.
Form last 68795-0
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
51SR74RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 51 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 22/1.
Winless in his last five starts and ranked near the foot of our figures, Gypsy Poet carries 142 lb with little recent form to commend him, though a run just 10 days ago at least means he comes here fit.
Form last 6876-07
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
61SR69RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 61 suggests ability but 14/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Bounced back to score last time out, but two pulled ups and a refusal earlier in the sequence raise clear jumping concerns, and 204 days off the track adds further uncertainty despite experience over today's trip.
Form last 6P/PR1-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR94RPR86OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.
Winless in his last four starts and off the track for over a year, Lucky This Time faces a stiff task on these figures, ranked last of the 23 runners; 144 lb is no help, though he returns with a clean slate fitness-wise after the lengthy absence.
Form last 6/0000-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
45SR65RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 suggests ability but 33/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Kilkee Bay shaped well when second three starts back and scoring four starts back, and he returns on a surface and trip he has encountered before, 18 days after his last run, which keeps him fresh and competitive on a mark of 90 with our figures suggesting more in reserve.
Form last 6U8125U
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
72SR97RPR90OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 72 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Princess Felicia owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2David Harry KellyPeter Smithers(5)
73%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
John Storey
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
8/1 · Ian Patrick Donoghue✓ Value Signal
The Little Yank
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
33/1 · John Patrick Ryan◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Princess Felicia (SR:84, 7/2, Wgt:10-12) is the standout on ability in this 23-runner handicap hurdle. Her SR of 84 is the highest in the field, she carries a manageable 10-12 — a significant weight advantage over top-weights Clone Cross (11-12) and Deise Crystal (11-11) — and her recent form of U/3-21 shows a last-time-out win, demonstrating current peak fitness. Trainer David Harry Kelly strikes at 10% and jockey Peter Smithers at 11%, both respectable for this level. The MarkMv:+6 is a concern as she runs off a 6lb higher mark than her last win, but her SR edge over the field compensates, and at 7/2 in a wide-open field she represents clear value.
Each-way alternative: Joshua Chamberlain.
Main danger: John Storey — John Storey (SR:75, 17/2) has steamed dramatically in the market — Mkt:in40% is the strongest move in the entire field — suggesting significant stable confidence behind a horse fitted with a tongue-piece for the first time, and at 11-5 he carries a manageable weight.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
MarkMv:+6 means the handicapper has raised her 6lb for her last-time-out win — a meaningful step up in mark that makes winning off this new rating considerably harder, especially in a 23-runner field.
Joshua Chamberlain (SR:82) carries 10lb less than top-weight and only 2lb more than Princess Felicia while running off a likely lower mark; in a big-field Galway handicap, lighter-weighted rivals can…
Jockey Peter Smithers has only 76 rides in the data sample with an 11% strike rate — limited big-field Galway festival experience is a concern when positional decisions in a 23-runner hurdle are crit…
Form of U/3-21 is only four runs deep with a fall/unseated (U) in the sequence; jumping reliability under pressure in a hectic 23-runner hurdle at Galway is not yet proven over a large sample.
ShortlistPrincess Felicia, Joshua Chamberlain, Clone Cross, John Storey