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Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle
Mr Fox’s call
Makinbecon
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Makinbecon (SR:84, 15/2) combines the strongest convergence of signals in this modest Class 5 field. The 52% market move in from opening is the standout market intelligence of the race — money this emphatic on a 15/2 shot at a minor track demands respect and is the primary trigger. This is backed by confirmed course form (W1P2 at Newton Abbot), a GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and a recent form string ending in '66' which, while not eye-catching, shows consistent participation at this level. The MarkMv:+4 is a marginal concern but the 11-8 weight is very manageable in this company, and trainer Barry John Murphy's 6% strike rate is unimpressive but the market clearly indicates stable confidence today. Each-way alternative: Ocean Heights. Main danger: Ghost Jury — Ghost Jury (SR:80, 13/2) has steamed in 41% in the market, carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-13, has course form (W0P1 at Newton Abbot), and jockey Ben Jones carries a strong 19% career strike rate — the GoingFit:- is the one flag holding it back from being the primary selection.
Full result
Winner: Ocean Heights (GB) at SP 5/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Ocean Heights Fox #2 6/1
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2
Mother Ship 5/1
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3
Ghost Jury Fox #4 6/1
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4
Devon Red Fox #3 7/2
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5
Makinbecon Fox #1 6/1
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6
Mystic Wind 9/2
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7
Captain Connor 17/2
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8
Gilded Glance 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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4