Newton Abbot 17:02 RESULTED
Class 5 7 Sep 2026

Monday 7 September Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle · 2m5f122y

Official Result

Sun Racing Summer Jumps Championship Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

Confirmed
  1. Winner Ocean Heights (GB) Jack Tudor · David Pipe
    5/1
  2. 15/2
  3. 11/4F
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14:00–17:02 · 7 races

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Settled
  • 8 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 2 weeks ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Mother Ship silks
Mother Ship
Age 6 · 11-12
-88072
88
82
85
6
11-12
5/1 18/13 5/1
Mother Ship showed well last time out with a second, though that follows a patchy run of form with little else to shout about in her last five starts; winless in recent starts and carrying 166 lb, she has run over today's trip before and represents a each-way each-way — a competitive but limited profile.
AI verdict

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Devon Red silks
Devon Red
Age 7 · 11-12
909/42
88
85
90
7
11-12
7/2 3/1 7/2
Devon Red has been knocking at the door, finishing second last time out just 16 days ago, and his rating of 90 marks him as a genuine threat at the weights; the risk is that he remains winless in recent starts and needs to convert his placed effort into something more decisive.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Ocean Heights silks
Ocean Heights
Age 9 · 11-9
6-3327
85
85
91
9
11-9
6/1 FCST 5/1
Ocean Heights has shown a consistent knack for hitting the frame, finishing second two starts back and third on two of the three runs prior to that, and our rating of 91 marks him out as a strong contender here; the risk is that he remains winless in recent starts and must overcome a hefty 163 lb.
AI verdict

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Mystic Wind silks
Mystic Wind
Age 4 · 11-8
5774
87
80
85
4
11-8
9/2 11/2 9/2
Winless in his last four starts and ranked sixth of eight on our rating, Mystic Wind faces an uphill task here; he is rated 87 by the handicapper and returns after 50 days off carrying 162 lb, so fitness under a big weight is the real question.
AI verdict

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Makinbecon silks
Makinbecon
Age 6 · 11-8
513166
84
84
83
6
11-8
6/1 14/1 9/2
Makinbecon has finished sixth in each of his last two starts, and while he does boast a win three starts back and was a winner five starts back, the overall profile places him last on our figures in an eight-runner field, making him difficult to fancy despite a quick turnaround and experience over today's trip.
AI verdict

SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Gilded Glance silks
Gilded Glance
Age 6 · 11-7
077P-
83
58
89
6
11-7
18/1 28/1 11/1
Winless in her last four starts and pulling up most recently, Gilded Glance needs to bounce back sharply, yet a rating of 89 suggests she retains ability and a stable return after 146 days off could spark improvement — the concern is whether that layoff has left her short of match practice.
AI verdict

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

7
Captain Connor silks
Captain Connor
Age 4 · 11-4
8P-782
83
81
98
4
11-4
17/2 6/1 17/2
Caught the eye with a runner-up finish last time out after a rough patch in recent starts, and Captain Connor has run over today's trip before; carrying 158 lb, he rates the one to beat on our figures despite being yet to win in his last five.
AI verdict

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

8
Ghost Jury silks
Ghost Jury
Age 7 · 10-13
-12526
75
80
85
7
10-13
6/1 10/1 5/1
Ghost Jury has shown she can compete, with a win and two second-place finishes in her last five starts, but ranked seventh of eight on our figures and lugging 153 lb, she faces a stiff ask, despite having run over today's trip before.
AI verdict

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Mother Ship 5/1 open 2.75 7/1 open 2.38 13/2 open 2.50 13/2 open 2.50 13/2 open 2.63 7/1 open 2.50 7/1 Paddy Power
2 Devon Red 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.33 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 open 4.00 7/2 Bet365
3 Ocean Heights 6/1 open 6.50 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 open 6.00 5/1 open 6.50 6/1 Bet365
4 Mystic Wind 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 7.00 9/2 open 6.50 5/1 open 7.00 5/1 Betfred
5 Makinbecon 6/1 open 17.00 5/1 open 17.00 11/2 open 17.00 11/2 open 17.00 11/2 open 15.00 9/2 open 17.00 6/1 Bet365
6 Gilded Glance 18/1 open 41.00 12/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 34.00 14/1 open 34.00 11/1 open 29.00 18/1 Bet365
7 Captain Connor 17/2 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 open 7.00 9/1 Paddy Power
8 Ghost Jury 6/1 open 11.00 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 12.00 11/2 open 12.00 6/1 open 12.00 5/1 open 12.00 6/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Ocean Heights

Speculative

Ocean Heights owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

6/1 David Pipe Jack Tudor
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Devon Red

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

7/2 · Nick Scholfield
✓ Value Signal

Gilded Glance

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Jane Williams
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Speculative
47 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +17.9 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence High conviction
72 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +15.9 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
40 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.2 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Speculative
51 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.1 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor High conviction
65 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.5 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.0 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 3. Ocean Heights
56.0 6/1
2 2. Devon Red
55.3 7/2
3 4. Mystic Wind
52.4 9/2
4 1. Mother Ship
52.3 5/1
5 5. Makinbecon
51.8 6/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Makinbecon
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

2
Age 7 · 11-12
7/2
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Age 4 · 11-8
9/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

1
Age 6 · 11-12
5/1
★★★☆☆ SR 82 🐾

SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 9 · 11-9
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 85 🐾

SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 6 · 11-8
6/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 84 🐾

SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 7 · 10-13
6/1
★★★☆☆ SR 80 🐾

SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Age 4 · 11-4
17/2
★★★☆☆ SR 81 🐾

SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 6 · 11-7
18/1
★☆☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Makinbecon
Confidence: Speculative

Makinbecon (SR:84, 15/2) combines the strongest convergence of signals in this modest Class 5 field. The 52% market move in from opening is the standout market intelligence of the race — money this emphatic on a 15/2 shot at a minor track demands respect and is the primary trigger. This is backed by confirmed course form (W1P2 at Newton Abbot), a GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and a recent form string ending in '66' which, while not eye-catching, shows consistent participation at this level. The MarkMv:+4 is a marginal concern but the 11-8 weight is very manageable in this company, and trainer Barry John Murphy's 6% strike rate is unimpressive but the market clearly indicates stable confidence today. Each-way alternative: Ocean Heights. Main danger: Ghost Jury — Ghost Jury (SR:80, 13/2) has steamed in 41% in the market, carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-13, has course form (W0P1 at Newton Abbot), and jockey Ben Jones carries a strong 19% career strike rate — the GoingFit:- is the one flag holding it back from being the primary selection.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Recent form reads '66' in last two starts — Makinbecon has finished 6th twice consecutively, suggesting a horse currently out of form rather than one building toward a win.
  • Trainer Barry John Murphy's 6% strike rate from 96 runners is genuinely weak, and a 52% market move at a minor track like Newton Abbot can reflect small-pool, easily distorted betting rather than gen…
  • MarkMv:+4 means the handicapper has raised the rating — Makinbecon is now 4lbs higher than its last winning mark, a meaningful rise given its flat recent efforts.
  • Devon Red (SR:85, 7/2) and Ocean Heights (SR:85, 7/2) both carry higher Speed Ratings and are trained by Nick Scholfield (17%) and David Pipe (10%) respectively — significantly stronger trainer stats…
Shortlist Makinbecon, Ocean Heights, Devon Red, Ghost Jury
Each-way: Ocean Heights Danger: Ghost Jury

🗺 The Course Class 5

2m5f122y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
8 Confirmed runners
Newton Abbot Track and setting
Class 5 Race grade