Mother Ship showed well last time out with a second, though that follows a patchy run of form with little else to shout about in her last five starts; winless in recent starts and carrying 166 lb, she has run over today's trip before and represents a each-way each-way — a competitive but limited profile.
Form last 6-88072
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR85RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Devon Red has been knocking at the door, finishing second last time out just 16 days ago, and his rating of 90 marks him as a genuine threat at the weights; the risk is that he remains winless in recent starts and needs to convert his placed effort into something more decisive.
Form last 6909/42
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR90RPR88OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ocean Heights has shown a consistent knack for hitting the frame, finishing second two starts back and third on two of the three runs prior to that, and our rating of 91 marks him out as a strong contender here; the risk is that he remains winless in recent starts and must overcome a hefty 163 lb.
Form last 66-3327
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
85SR91RPR85OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 85 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Winless in his last four starts and ranked sixth of eight on our rating, Mystic Wind faces an uphill task here; he is rated 87 by the handicapper and returns after 50 days off carrying 162 lb, so fitness under a big weight is the real question.
Form last 65774
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
80SR85RPR87OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Makinbecon has finished sixth in each of his last two starts, and while he does boast a win three starts back and was a winner five starts back, the overall profile places him last on our figures in an eight-runner field, making him difficult to fancy despite a quick turnaround and experience over today's trip.
Form last 6513166
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
84SR83RPR84OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 84 suggests ability but 15/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last four starts and pulling up most recently, Gilded Glance needs to bounce back sharply, yet a rating of 89 suggests she retains ability and a stable return after 146 days off could spark improvement — the concern is whether that layoff has left her short of match practice.
Form last 6077P-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
58SR89RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 58 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 33/1.
Caught the eye with a runner-up finish last time out after a rough patch in recent starts, and Captain Connor has run over today's trip before; carrying 158 lb, he rates the one to beat on our figures despite being yet to win in his last five.
Form last 68P-782
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR98RPR83OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ghost Jury has shown she can compete, with a win and two second-place finishes in her last five starts, but ranked seventh of eight on our figures and lugging 153 lb, she faces a stiff ask, despite having run over today's trip before.
Form last 6-12526
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
80SR85RPR75OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 80 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Ocean Heights owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (47) and market confidence (72). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
6/1David PipeJack Tudor
65%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Devon Red
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
7/2 · Nick Scholfield✓ Value Signal
Gilded Glance
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
18/1 · Jane Williams◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Makinbecon (SR:84, 15/2) combines the strongest convergence of signals in this modest Class 5 field. The 52% market move in from opening is the standout market intelligence of the race — money this emphatic on a 15/2 shot at a minor track demands respect and is the primary trigger. This is backed by confirmed course form (W1P2 at Newton Abbot), a GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, and a recent form string ending in '66' which, while not eye-catching, shows consistent participation at this level. The MarkMv:+4 is a marginal concern but the 11-8 weight is very manageable in this company, and trainer Barry John Murphy's 6% strike rate is unimpressive but the market clearly indicates stable confidence today.
Each-way alternative: Ocean Heights.
Main danger: Ghost Jury — Ghost Jury (SR:80, 13/2) has steamed in 41% in the market, carries the lightest weight in the field at 10-13, has course form (W0P1 at Newton Abbot), and jockey Ben Jones carries a strong 19% career strike rate — the GoingFit:- is the one flag holding it back from being the primary selection.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Recent form reads '66' in last two starts — Makinbecon has finished 6th twice consecutively, suggesting a horse currently out of form rather than one building toward a win.
Trainer Barry John Murphy's 6% strike rate from 96 runners is genuinely weak, and a 52% market move at a minor track like Newton Abbot can reflect small-pool, easily distorted betting rather than gen…
MarkMv:+4 means the handicapper has raised the rating — Makinbecon is now 4lbs higher than its last winning mark, a meaningful rise given its flat recent efforts.
Devon Red (SR:85, 7/2) and Ocean Heights (SR:85, 7/2) both carry higher Speed Ratings and are trained by Nick Scholfield (17%) and David Pipe (10%) respectively — significantly stronger trainer stats…
ShortlistMakinbecon, Ocean Heights, Devon Red, Ghost Jury