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Twilight Racing On The Dee Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Duel Au Soleil
SPECULATIVE Advised 15/8 SP 15/8F Est. 38%
Mr Fox says
Duel Au Soleil (SR:115, 15/8) carries 11-6 — the joint-lightest competitive weight in the field — and has steamed in 27% in the market, the most significant move of any runner, indicating strong stable confidence backed by the Ben Pauling/Ben Jones combination running at 19% strike rates each. The four-star AI probability rating is the best in the field, and GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground. While MarkMv:+8 is a concern — running off a mark 8lb above last win — the weight advantage over top-weight Country Park (12-0) and the compelling market move override that reservation in a thin five-runner field. Each-way alternative: Jiair Madrik. Main danger: Country Park — Country Park (SR:116, 11/4) holds the joint-highest SR in the field, carries Course:W1P1 form at Bangor-on-Dee which is a genuine track-specialist advantage, and GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's going — despite the drift of 9% and the burden of top-weight 12-0, the course form on this tight track could prove decisive.
Full result
Winner: Duel Au Soleil (FR) at SP 15/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Duel Au Soleil Fox #1 7/4
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2
Lermoos Legend 15/2
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3
Jiair Madrik Fox #3 9/4
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4
Country Park Fox #2 3/1
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5
Disco Davis 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Duel Au Soleil 15/8 SP 15/8F 🏆 WON
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2
Country Park 11/4 🏁 4TH
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3
Jiair Madrik 5/2 🥉 3RD