Bangor-on-Dee 16:38 RESULTED
Class 4 8 Sep 2026

Tuesday 8 September Twilight Racing On The Dee Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Twilight Racing On The Dee Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race) · 2m4f72y

Official Result

Twilight Racing On The Dee Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Duel Au Soleil (FR) Ben Jones · Ben Pauling
    15/8F
  2. 5/1
  3. 11/4
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Settled
  • 5 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Country Park silks
Country Park
Age 7 · 12-0
F4-413
118
116
118
7
12-0
3/1 2/1 11/4
Third last time out following a win two starts back, Country Park arrives here in solid recent form and has run over today's trip and going, making him a leading player on 168 lb; 44 days off is the only query.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Lermoos Legend silks
Lermoos Legend
Age 11 · 11-9
62-732
113
110
113
11
11-9
15/2 10/3 13/2
Lermoos Legend arrives in sharp order on a ten-day turnaround, with experience over today's trip and going and a second last time out keeping connections buoyant; yet to win in his last five starts, and 163 lb is the weight he must overcome.
AI verdict

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Jiair Madrik silks
Jiair Madrik
Age 7 · 11-6
44-111
110
116
108
7
11-6
9/4 5/4 9/4
Jiair Madrik has won three of his last five starts in recent form, including three consecutive victories, and has experience of today's distance and going, but he ranks last on our figures among these five and faces a stiff task off 160 lb after 63 days away.
AI verdict

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

4
Duel Au Soleil silks
Duel Au Soleil
Age 6 · 11-6
283-42
110
115
110
6
11-6
7/4 2/1 7/4
Consistent in defeat but clearly threatening, Duel Au Soleil brings strong placed form — second last time out and third three starts back — with experience over today's trip and going; the main risk is he remains yet to win in his last five starts.
AI verdict

Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

5
Disco Davis silks
Disco Davis
Age 7 · 10-12
P4-3P6
102
92
115
7
10-12
18/1 16/1 14/1
Disco Davis shaped with promise when third three starts back and has experience of today's trip and ground, with our rating of 115 suggesting he holds strong claims; yet to win in recent starts and a 69-day absence leaves fitness the obvious query.
AI verdict

SR 92 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Country Park 3/1 open 3.75 11/4 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.00 3/1 open 3.25 11/4 open 3.00 3/1 Bet365
2 Lermoos Legend 15/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 4.33 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 7/1 open 7.00 15/2 Bet365
3 Jiair Madrik 9/4 open 2.50 9/4 open 2.25 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 open 3.00 9/4 Bet365
4 Duel Au Soleil 7/4 open 5.00 7/4 open 6.50 7/4 open 3.25 7/4 open 3.25 15/8 open 3.00 15/8 open 3.25 15/8 William Hill
5 Disco Davis 18/1 open 26.00 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 14/1 open 17.00 18/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Duel Au Soleil

Live signal

Duel Au Soleil owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (64) and market confidence (92). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

7/4 Ben Pauling Ben Jones
65% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Jiair Madrik

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

9/4 · Donald McCain
✓ Value Signal

Disco Davis

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

18/1 · Sarah-Jayne Davies
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

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Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Live signal
64 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +24.3 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
92 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +20.2 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Speculative
50 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +4.8 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
43 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +4.3 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +5.8 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
59 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.7 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 4. Duel Au Soleil
63.6 7/4
2 3. Jiair Madrik
63.4 9/4
3 1. Country Park
63.2 3/1
4 2. Lermoos Legend
56.0 15/2
5 5. Disco Davis
50.1 18/1
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Duel Au Soleil
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

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The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

4
Age 6 · 11-6
7/4
★★★★☆ SR 115 🐾

Favourable weight of 11-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.

3
Age 7 · 11-6
9/4
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

1
Age 7 · 12-0
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 116 🐾

SR 116 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Age 11 · 11-9
15/2
★★★☆☆ SR 110 🐾

SR 110 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

5
Age 7 · 10-12
18/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 92 🐾

SR 92 suggests ability but 16/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Duel Au Soleil
Confidence: Speculative

Duel Au Soleil (SR:115, 15/8) carries 11-6 — the joint-lightest competitive weight in the field — and has steamed in 27% in the market, the most significant move of any runner, indicating strong stable confidence backed by the Ben Pauling/Ben Jones combination running at 19% strike rates each. The four-star AI probability rating is the best in the field, and GoingFit:+ confirms the horse handles today's good ground. While MarkMv:+8 is a concern — running off a mark 8lb above last win — the weight advantage over top-weight Country Park (12-0) and the compelling market move override that reservation in a thin five-runner field. Each-way alternative: Jiair Madrik. Main danger: Country Park — Country Park (SR:116, 11/4) holds the joint-highest SR in the field, carries Course:W1P1 form at Bangor-on-Dee which is a genuine track-specialist advantage, and GoingFit:+ confirms comfort on today's going — despite the drift of 9% and the burden of top-weight 12-0, the course form on this tight track could prove decisive.

Case against 4 clamped
  • MarkMv:+8 is the largest handicap rise in the field — running 8lb above last winning mark against rivals rising just +1 to +6, a material headwind in a flat handicap chase.
  • Form reads 283-42: the most recent two runs show a fourth and a second, not a win — Jiair Madrik arrives on a hat-trick (44-111) with far more current winning form.
  • HG:tb (tongue-tie, blinkers) suggests the trainer is still searching for the right headgear combination, raising questions about whether the horse's attitude is fully resolved.
  • Course record W0P1 at Bangor — has placed here once but never won, while Country Park holds W1P1, a concrete course-winning advantage on this tight track.
Shortlist Duel Au Soleil, Country Park, Jiair Madrik
Each-way: Jiair Madrik Danger: Country Park

🗺 The Course Class 4

2m4f72y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
5 Confirmed runners
Bangor-on-Dee Track and setting
Class 4 Race grade