← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Mr Fox’s call
Kings Merchant
SPECULATIVE Advised 5/2 SP 7/4F Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Kings Merchant (SR 74, 5/2) is the clear SR leader in this Class 6 field by a margin of 11 points over the next-best Ideal Guest (SR 63), and the market has backed that assessment emphatically with a 21% inward move. At 9-13 the weight is manageable given the SR advantage. The Philip Kirby yard operates at only 4% overall but Kevin Stott is a 13% striker and the combination of market confidence plus a recent form figure of 5 last time out suggests a horse coming back into form. The negatives are DistFit:- and GoingFit:-, which cannot be dismissed, but in a modest Class 6 sprint the SR edge and strong market support override those concerns. Each-way alternative: Ideal Guest. Main danger: Ideal Guest — Ideal Guest (SR 63, 10/3) carries only 9-9 — 4lb less than Kings Merchant — has GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, Course:W0P2 at Catterick showing familiarity, and Harriet Bethell's 17% trainer strike rate from a small yard is a standout figure that suggests genuine stable confidence.
Full result
Winner: Kings Merchant (GB) at SP 7/4F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Kings Merchant Fox #1 5/2
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2
Eldeyaar 9/1
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3
One Of Our Own Fox #3 13/2
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4
Ideal Guest Fox #2 3/1
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5
Hi Lord 15/2
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6
Winter Crown 25/1
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7
Dream Deal Fox #4 13/2
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8
Aurora's Doublesix 150/1
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9
Pit Boss 17/2
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—
Solar Cooper 40/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Kings Merchant 5/2 SP 7/4F 🏆 WON
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2
Ideal Guest 10/3 🏁 4TH
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3
One Of Our Own 13/2 🥉 3RD
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4
Dream Deal 13/2 7TH