Catterick 15:36 RESULTED
Class 6 8 Sep 2026

Tuesday 8 September Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div II) · 5f212y

Official Result

Fifth Regiment Royal Artillery Handicap Stakes (Div II)

Confirmed
  1. Winner Kings Merchant (GB) Kevin Stott · Philip Kirby
    7/4F
  2. 12/1
  3. 15/2
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Settled
  • 10 declared
  • 0 picked
Saturday Draw Updated 1 week, 6 days ago
No.
Horse
Form
Jockey / Trainer
OR
SR?
RPR/OR
Age
Wgt
AI
Votes
Odds
Pick
Comment
1
Kings Merchant silks
Kings Merchant
Age 5 · 9-13
782145
63
74
73
5
9-13
5/2 3/1 5/2
Kings Merchant showed his best when winning three starts back, and he arrives here fresh after 38 days off the track with experience of today's distance and going. Carrying 139 lb from stall 2, recent efforts of fourth and fifth suggest he needs to find more.
AI verdict

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

2
Hi Lord silks
Hi Lord
Age 4 · 9-13
513730
63
58
69
4
9-13
15/2 6/1 15/2
Hi Lord ran third two starts back and has experience of today's distance and going, while his 69 rating underlines him as a leading threat from stall 7 at 139 lb; the risk is that he was unplaced last time out.
AI verdict

SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

3
Dream Deal silks
Dream Deal
Age 7 · 9-12
227407
62
55
64
7
9-12
13/2 5/1 13/2
Dream Deal has run over today's trip and going but arrives winless in his last six starts, with a pair of seconds the highlight before a recent slide to seventh; the nine-day turnaround keeps him fresh, though 138 lb from stall eight is no light ask for a horse rated 62 officially.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

4
Winter Crown silks
Winter Crown
Age 6 · 9-12
1409-8
62
36
74
6
9-12
25/1 12/1 25/1
Winter Crown won five starts back and has run over today's trip and going, while our rating just edges him to the head of the field — but a 247-day absence and a run of unplaced efforts in recent starts make fitness the key risk.
AI verdict

SR 36 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 25/1.

5
Pit Boss silks
Pit Boss
Age 4 · 9-11
223313
61
56
66
4
9-11
17/2 7/2 13/2
Pit Boss has run over today's trip and going, and shaped with credit in recent starts — third last time out and a winner two starts back — but 165 days off the track is a significant query, and 137 lb is a stern weight to shoulder on a comeback.
AI verdict

SR 56 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

6
Ideal Guest silks
Ideal Guest
Age 7 · 9-9
-30415
59
63
60
7
9-9
3/1 3/1 5/2
Ranked eighth of ten on our figures and carrying 135 lb, Ideal Guest is hard to fancy despite a win two starts back; he was fifth last time out after 48 days off, and though he has run over today's trip and going before, the weight and low rating make him a tough sell.
AI verdict

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

7
Solar Cooper silks
Solar Cooper
Age 3 · 9-9
801696
61
33
67
3
9-9
40/1 14/1 33/1
Solar Cooper won from this mark four starts back and has experience of today's trip and conditions, giving him a solid platform to threaten; the concern is that his last three outings have all produced finishes of sixth or worse.
AI verdict

SR 33 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 40/1.

8
One Of Our Own silks
One Of Our Own
Age 6 · 9-8
416365
58
60
64
6
9-8
13/2 15/2 6/1
SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
AI verdict

SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Eldeyaar silks
Eldeyaar
Age 7 · 8-12
013385
48
55
58
7
8-12
9/1 8/1 9/1
Eldeyaar has shown only glimpses of form in recent starts, finishing third twice and winning once in his last six, but a fifth and eighth since suggest he is struggling for consistency, and ranked ninth of ten on our figures he faces a stiff task here, though he has run over today's distance and going before.
AI verdict

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

10
Aurora's Doublesix silks
Aurora's Doublesix
Age 4 · 8-10
995058
46
21
37
4
8-10
150/1 FCST 100/1
Winless in her last six starts and ranked bottom of the field on our figures, Aurora's Doublesix faces a stiff ask, though she has run over today's trip and going before and a light weight of 122 lb from stall three offers a crumb of comfort.
AI verdict

SR 21 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 150/1.

Horse Bet365 Paddy Power Coral Ladbrokes William Hill Betfred Best
1 Kings Merchant 5/2 open 6.50 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 open 4.00 5/2 Bet365
2 Hi Lord 15/2 open 7.00 8/1 open 7.50 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 open 8.00 8/1 Paddy Power
3 Dream Deal 13/2 open 6.00 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 open 6.50 13/2 Bet365
4 Winter Crown 25/1 open 13.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 open 15.00 25/1 Bet365
5 Pit Boss 17/2 open 4.50 15/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 13/2 open 5.00 15/2 open 5.00 7/1 open 5.00 17/2 Bet365
6 Ideal Guest 3/1 open 5.00 3/1 open 6.00 3/1 open 4.33 5/2 open 4.33 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 open 4.00 10/3 William Hill
7 Solar Cooper 40/1 open 17.00 40/1 open 15.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 40/1 open 19.00 33/1 open 19.00 40/1 Bet365
8 One Of Our Own 13/2 open 9.00 6/1 open 8.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 6/1 open 9.50 13/2 Bet365
9 Eldeyaar 9/1 open 9.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 open 11.00 9/1 Bet365
10 Aurora's Doublesix 150/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 125/1 open 101.00 100/1 open 126.00 150/1 Bet365

Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.

Chamber Verdict

Balanced lens

Kings Merchant

Speculative

Kings Merchant owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (88). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.

5/2 Philip Kirby Kevin Stott
67% Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner

Ideal Guest

Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.

3/1 · Harriet Bethell
✓ Value Signal

Aurora's Doublesix

Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.

150/1 · Brian Rothwell
◈ Chamber Memory

Balanced

Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.

Change lens →
Chamber Signals

How the chamber read the race

Why this horse Live cards showing how the active lens weighted each signal for this outcome.
Speed rating Low conviction
41 / 100
⚖ Weight 38% +15.6 pts

Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.

Market confidence Dominant
88 / 100
⚖ Weight 22% +19.5 pts

Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.

Pace profile Low conviction
33 / 100
⚖ Weight 12% +3.3 pts

How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.

Value edge Low conviction
38 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +3.8 pts

Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.

Chaos factor Dominant
60 / 100
⚖ Weight 10% +6.0 pts

Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.

Favourite bias Speculative
58 / 100
⚖ Weight 8% +4.6 pts

Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.

Top chamber signals Top 5 ranked by the active lens.
1 1. Kings Merchant
52.0 5/2
2 6. Ideal Guest
51.0 3/1
3 8. One Of Our Own
46.7 13/2
4 5. Pit Boss
46.4 17/2
5 2. Hi Lord
44.0 15/2
YOUR DECISION

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🤖 AI view
Kings Merchant
Speculative

When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.

Read the AI breakdown →
The Race Engine combines three independent signals to help you see the race clearly
📊
SR

Saturday Rating

Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.

Ability
🤖
★★★★★

AI Stars

A race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.

Today's Chance
🐾
0

Cub Votes

One Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.

Community Signal

Market Movers Horses at 20/1 or shorter

1
Age 5 · 9-13
5/2
★★★☆☆ SR 74 🐾

SR 74 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

6
Age 7 · 9-9
3/1
★★★☆☆ SR 63 🐾

SR 63 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.

3
Age 7 · 9-12
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

8
Age 6 · 9-8
13/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 60 🐾

SR 60 suggests ability but 13/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

2
Age 4 · 9-13
15/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 58 🐾

SR 58 suggests ability but 17/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

5
Age 4 · 9-11
17/2
★★☆☆☆ SR 56 🐾

SR 56 suggests ability but 7/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

9
Age 7 · 8-12
9/1
★★☆☆☆ SR 55 🐾

SR 55 suggests ability but 10/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.

STEAMERS

Race Steamers

What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.

🤖AI Intelligence Saturday Racing's analytical engine

Saturday Racing AI
Kings Merchant
Confidence: Speculative

Kings Merchant (SR 74, 5/2) is the clear SR leader in this Class 6 field by a margin of 11 points over the next-best Ideal Guest (SR 63), and the market has backed that assessment emphatically with a 21% inward move. At 9-13 the weight is manageable given the SR advantage. The Philip Kirby yard operates at only 4% overall but Kevin Stott is a 13% striker and the combination of market confidence plus a recent form figure of 5 last time out suggests a horse coming back into form. The negatives are DistFit:- and GoingFit:-, which cannot be dismissed, but in a modest Class 6 sprint the SR edge and strong market support override those concerns. Each-way alternative: Ideal Guest. Main danger: Ideal Guest — Ideal Guest (SR 63, 10/3) carries only 9-9 — 4lb less than Kings Merchant — has GoingFit:+ on today's good ground, Course:W0P2 at Catterick showing familiarity, and Harriet Bethell's 17% trainer strike rate from a small yard is a standout figure that suggests genuine stable confidence.

Case against 4 clamped
  • Both DistFit and GoingFit are flagged negative — Kings Merchant has not demonstrated suitability for today's specific trip and going combination at Catterick, a sharp track that can expose those gaps.
  • Most recent form figure is a 5 (fifth), and the sequence 782145 shows inconsistency rather than a clear progressive pattern, raising doubt this is truly a horse coming back into form.
  • Philip Kirby's yard runs at only 4% — well below the threshold for stable confidence — and even with Kevin Stott's 13% strike rate, the trainer-jockey combination has limited ammunition to overcome a…
  • Ideal Guest (SR 63, 10/3) is trained by Harriet Bethell at a sharp 17% strike rate, has course experience (W0P2), and is only 11 SR points behind on a tight Class 6 track where that margin can be bri…
Shortlist Kings Merchant, Ideal Guest, One Of Our Own, Dream Deal
Each-way: Ideal Guest Danger: Ideal Guest

🗺 The Course Class 6

5f212y Distance to cover
Good Expected going
10 Confirmed runners
Catterick Track and setting
Class 6 Race grade