← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
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Mr Fox’s call
Hanney Girl
SPECULATIVE Advised 7/2 Est. 32%
Mr Fox says
Hanney Girl (SR:83, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), which is a meaningful positive in a tight Class 5 sprint. The 40% market steam — the sharpest move in the entire field — is the single most compelling signal here: money is flowing in decisively, suggesting connections have strong confidence. At 9-8 she carries a manageable weight, lighter than top-weight Our Absent Friends (9-12), and the tongue-tie (HG:t) points to a specific physical or behavioural tweak being applied with intent. GoingFit:- is a genuine concern on good ground, but the class drop, SR advantage, and dramatic market support outweigh that reservation at this level. Each-way alternative: Our Absent Friends. Main danger: Our Absent Friends — Our Absent Friends (SR:81, 4/1) carries an imposing Course:W2P3 record at Catterick — by far the best course form in the field — and trainer Tristan Davidson's 20% strike rate gives the runner genuine claims, though the +5 mark penalty and GoingFit:- are the checks on confidence.
Full result
Winner: Military Girl (IRE) at SP 10/1. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Military Girl 9/1
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2
Hanney Girl Fox #1 7/2
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3
Our Absent Friends Fox #2 9/2
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4
Valor Spirit 20/1
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5
Protest Rally 28/1
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6
J Street Fox #4 9/2
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7
Wen Moon Fox #3 11/2
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8
I'm Dan Dare 12/1
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9
Keldeo 9/2
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Without Flaw -
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
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2
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3
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4