Third last time out, and a winner three starts back, Our Absent Friends arrives fresh on eight days' rest with distance and going experience in his favour; the main risk is a weight of 138 lb from stall seven.
Form last 6919153
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
81SR78RPR74OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ran well to finish second three starts back and has won twice in her last six, but her last two outings have yielded a fifth and an unplaced effort, suggesting she heads here in a dip in form; has run over today's trip and going, and 136 lb is the notable weight burden to overcome from stall six.
Form last 6311250
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
71SR75RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A run of back-to-back fourths in her most recent starts makes J Street hard to fancy, ranked seventh of nine on our figures, though she has run over today's trip and going before and her two wins in her last six starts confirm she is capable of better.
Form last 6514144
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR73RPR72OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked bottom of nine on our figures and with a speed rating of 67 that leaves him plenty to find, I'm Dan Dare is hard to fancy despite a record showing two wins in his last six starts; he has run over today's trip and going before, but 60 days off adds another question mark.
Form last 6251210
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
74SR72RPR73OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 74 suggests ability but 11/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Hanney Girl carries a hefty 134 lb from stall five, yet her rating of 84 marks her out as the standout in this field, and she has run over today's trip and conditions before; the concern is that she has been winless in her last six starts, with consecutive fourths in recent outings suggesting the win may continue to elude her.
Form last 6539944
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
83SR84RPR71OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 83 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Twice placed in his last two starts, Wen Moon lines up here fresh after 97 days off, but his recent consistency is the key, and he has experience over today's distance and going; carrying 134 lb from stall one, our figures suggest he holds strong claims.
Form last 651-033
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
82SR80RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 82 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Valor Spirit has shown a knack for placing, with a second last time out and a second three starts back, though a sixth two starts back tempers enthusiasm; yet to win in recent starts, and 52 days between runs is a query, even if today's trip and going hold no fears.
Form last 635-262
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
71SR75RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 71 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last six starts and ranked eighth of nine on our figures, Keldeo is hard to fancy despite a recent second three starts back keeping hope faint; experience over today's trip and going, plus a 22-day freshen-up, are the slim positives from stall three off 132 lb.
Form last 6444294
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
76SR72RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 76 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Protest Rally showed enough in his last five starts to catch the eye, and his experience over today's trip and conditions is a genuine asset; carrying 131 lb from stall nine and returning after 396 days off is the chief concern for this winless gelding.
Form last 668845-
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
60SR76RPR67OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 60 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 16/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Hanney Girl owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (46) and market confidence (84). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
7/2Tim EasterbyDavid Allan
69%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Keldeo
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
9/2 · Ollie Pears✓ Value Signal
Protest Rally
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
28/1 · Liam Bailey◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Hanney Girl (SR:83, 7/2) is the highest-rated horse in the field and drops a class (ClassMv:↓1), which is a meaningful positive in a tight Class 5 sprint. The 40% market steam — the sharpest move in the entire field — is the single most compelling signal here: money is flowing in decisively, suggesting connections have strong confidence. At 9-8 she carries a manageable weight, lighter than top-weight Our Absent Friends (9-12), and the tongue-tie (HG:t) points to a specific physical or behavioural tweak being applied with intent. GoingFit:- is a genuine concern on good ground, but the class drop, SR advantage, and dramatic market support outweigh that reservation at this level.
Each-way alternative: Our Absent Friends.
Main danger: Our Absent Friends — Our Absent Friends (SR:81, 4/1) carries an imposing Course:W2P3 record at Catterick — by far the best course form in the field — and trainer Tristan Davidson's 20% strike rate gives the runner genuine claims, though the +5 mark penalty and GoingFit:- are the checks on confidence.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Form reads 539944 — four consecutive finishes of 9th, 9th, 4th, 4th; the 9s suggest real struggles and she has not won recently, raising questions about whether SR:83 is flattered.
GoingFit:- on today's good ground is a flagged negative, and Catterick's fast good-ground conditions in September can expose horses who prefer cut — compounded by Course:W0P2 (placed but never won he…
Tongue-tie applied for the first time (HG:t) is a two-edged signal: it can indicate a behavioural or breathing issue that has been problematic, and first-time equipment changes in sprints carry execu…
Wen Moon (SR:82) is only 1 point below on a 97-day break — if fresh and firing she represents a live market-mover threat, while Our Absent Friends (SR:81, Course:W2P3) has a strong Catterick-specific…
ShortlistHanney Girl, Our Absent Friends, Wen Moon, J Street