← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Royal Sussex Regiment Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)
Mr Fox’s call
Sorrengail
HIGH Advised 8/11 Est. 55%
Mr Fox says
Sorrengail (SR:99, 8/11) is the standout on raw ability, sitting 15 points clear of the next best (Spirit Tango, SR:84) and 18 clear of China In Your Hand (SR:81). The form reads 412 — a recent second at the same class level (ClassMv:=) after a fourth and a win — showing progression and consistency at this exact grade. Charlie Appleby's 32% career strike rate with William Buick booked (21%) is a power pairing that does not get deployed without confidence, and the DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 7f. The headgear (h) is unchanged from a placed run, suggesting it's a settled part of her routine rather than a panic intervention. Each-way alternative: Spirit Tango. Main danger: Spirit Tango — Spirit Tango (SR:84, 4/1) showed a strong last-to-win profile in her Form:51 sequence, has Oisin Murphy booked, and Ralph Beckett's 17% strike rate with improving juveniles means the step up two class tiers may be well-timed if Sorrengail fails to handle the good ground on the day.
Full result
Winner: Spirit Tango (IRE) at SP 8/15F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Spirit Tango Fox #2 6/4
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2
Al Samsama 2/1
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3
Global Success 18/1
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4
The Can Can Queen 16/1
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—
China In Your Hand Fox #3 10/3
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—
Sorrengail Fox #1 8/11
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Sorrengail 8/11
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2
Spirit Tango 4/1 SP 8/15F 🏆 WON
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3
China In Your Hand 17/2