Royal Sussex Regiment Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race) · 7f
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Favourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
| Horse | Bet365 | Paddy Power | Coral | Ladbrokes | William Hill | Betfred | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Al Samsama | 2/1 open 4.50 | 15/8 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 open 4.50 | 2/1 Bet365 |
| 2 China In Your Hand | 10/3 open 11.00 | 3/1 open 11.00 | 3/1 open 10.00 | 3/1 open 10.00 | 10/3 open 10.00 | 3/1 open 10.00 | 10/3 Bet365 |
| 3 Sorrengail | 8/11 open 1.67 | 8/11 open 1.57 | 8/11 | 8/11 | 4/5 open 1.73 | 4/6 open 1.73 | 4/5 William Hill |
| 4 Spirit Tango | 6/4 open 6.50 | 11/8 open 5.00 | 11/8 open 5.00 | 11/8 open 5.00 | 6/4 open 5.00 | 11/8 open 5.00 | 6/4 Bet365 |
| 5 The Can Can Queen | 16/1 open 15.00 | 16/1 open 21.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 open 19.00 | 16/1 Bet365 |
| 6 Global Success | 18/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 open 41.00 | 18/1 Bet365 |
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer), Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync. Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Sorrengail owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (55) and market confidence (97). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Change lens →Base ability signal derived from the runner's best available speed figure.
Transforms live price respect into a confidence signal inside the chamber.
How cleanly the runner's engine fits the projected rhythm and pressure map.
Shows whether the current price still leaves enough upside in the pick.
Controlled volatility that keeps the simulation realistic and stress-tests the profile.
Extra certainty applied when the active lens wants to trust the obvious market leader.
Your pick and the AI view — both on one line before you enter the field.
Use the signals below, then back one runner before the off.
Choose your horse →When the models line up, pay attention. When they split, the value may be elsewhere.
Read the AI breakdown →Proprietary ability score 0–200. How good the horse actually is — independent of market opinion.
AbilityA race-day probability signal for today's conditions — form trajectory, going, suitability and weight.
Today's ChanceOne Cub. One horse. One shot. Follow the crowd — or fade it.
Community SignalFavourable weight of 9-6 gives a real edge in this handicap.
SR 84 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 78 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 81 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
SR 54 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 28/1.
SR 55 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
What the money's doing in this race — biggest price movements across the bookmakers since the last odds sync.
No drifters in this race.
Sorrengail (SR:99, 8/11) is the standout on raw ability, sitting 15 points clear of the next best (Spirit Tango, SR:84) and 18 clear of China In Your Hand (SR:81). The form reads 412 — a recent second at the same class level (ClassMv:=) after a fourth and a win — showing progression and consistency at this exact grade. Charlie Appleby's 32% career strike rate with William Buick booked (21%) is a power pairing that does not get deployed without confidence, and the DistFit:+ confirms proven ability at 7f. The headgear (h) is unchanged from a placed run, suggesting it's a settled part of her routine rather than a panic intervention. Each-way alternative: Spirit Tango. Main danger: Spirit Tango — Spirit Tango (SR:84, 4/1) showed a strong last-to-win profile in her Form:51 sequence, has Oisin Murphy booked, and Ralph Beckett's 17% strike rate with improving juveniles means the step up two class tiers may be well-timed if Sorrengail fails to handle the good ground on the day.