← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Decalogue
SPECULATIVE Advised 10/3 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Decalogue (SR:73, 10/3) matches Blue Wonder as the joint top-rated in the field but carries 9lb less (9-9 vs 10-0), a meaningful weight advantage that becomes decisive on good ground at this trip. As a 3yo running in a Class 5 handicap, the age allowance further favours Decalogue, and the yard's 12% trainer strike rate combined with Saffie Osborne's 14% jockey rate signals a competent operation. The 5-day turnaround suggests the horse is in good order and the connections are confident enough to go again quickly. While DistFit and GoingFit are both marked '?' indicating an insufficient sample, the SR and weight edge over the field's other contenders make this the most compelling selection. Each-way alternative: Blue Wonder. Main danger: Blue Wonder — Blue Wonder (SR:73, 5/2) matches Decalogue on SR and has Oisin Murphy in the saddle — a jockey striking at 21% career — and proven DistFit:+, meaning the trip is confirmed; the 87-day absence and GoingFit:- are the only concerns keeping it off the top spot.
Full result
Winner: Blue Wonder (IRE) at SP 15/8F. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Blue Wonder Fox #2 2/1
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2
Platinum Prince 7/1
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3
Brave Leader 12/1
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4
Boy George 14/1
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5
Oasis Sunrise Fox #3 6/1
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6
Sir Edward Lear 17/2
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7
Hello Cotai Fox #4 4/1
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8
Connie Moon 17/2
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9
Benavente 66/1
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10
Lady McC 40/1
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—
Decalogue Fox #1 10/3
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—
Prodigal Son 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Decalogue 10/3
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2
Blue Wonder 5/2 SP 15/8F 🏆 WON
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3
Oasis Sunrise 8/1 5TH
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4
Hello Cotai 11/2 7TH