Oasis Sunrise showed a placed effort two starts back and has experience of today's trip and going, but her ninth last time out is a concern, and 142 lb is a stiff burden for a filly rated 70 stepping back in quickly on 11 days' rest.
Form last 6143349
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
65SR71RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 65 suggests ability but 8/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Sir Edward Lear has run over today's distance and going before and is experienced at the trip on a rating of 72 with conditions to suit, but he remains winless in his last five starts and that elusive first win is the obvious concern.
Form last 630-545
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
57SR72RPR70OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 12/1.
Hello Cotai won last time out and is fit on an 8-day turnaround, with experience of today's trip and going in his favour, but two wins in his last six starts alongside a ranking of ninth of twelve on our figures makes him hard to fancy at this level carrying 142 lb.
Form last 6613441
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
66SR66RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 66 suggests ability but 11/2 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Blue Wonder won two starts back and has experience of today's trip and going in her favour, making the 87-day absence the main query; carrying 140 lb from stall nine, she looks capable of going well if retaining that winning form.
Form last 600-415
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR73RPR68OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
A lengthy absence of 441 days is the principal concern with Boy George, who is ranked near the foot of our assessments despite an official mark of 65, and that layoff makes his excellent recent winning sequence — three wins in his last four starts — very hard to assess at face value.
Form last 68/111-
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
57SR61RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 57 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Winless in her last five starts and off the track for 131 days, Lady McC faces a fitness query on her return, though she has run over today's distance and going and a our rating of 70 offers mild encouragement from stall five at 137 lb.
Form last 65580-8
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
38SR70RPR65OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 38 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 66/1.
Decalogue has been knocking persistently on the door, finishing second last time out and third two starts back, and his rating of 72 gives him a live chance here; the main risk is that he is returning just five days after his latest effort.
Form last 66-8432
★AI Rating★★★☆☆
73SR72RPR69OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 73 is competitive — each-way claims if conditions suit on the day.
Ranked tenth of twelve on our figures, Prodigal Son faces a stiff ask, his form patchy in recent starts with a ninth two runs back undermining an encouraging second last time out; he has run over today's trip and going before, and a draw of two is his one neutral positive.
Form last 6137492
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
44SR64RPR63OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 44 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 20/1.
Winless in her last five starts, Connie Moon has at least run over today's trip and going before, and 29 days between runs suggests she arrives fresh, though a career-best effort is needed from stall seven off 134 lb to trouble the principals.
Form last 638-675
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
55SR68RPR62OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 55 suggests ability but 12/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Platinum Prince has run over today's trip and going before, but has been winless in his last five starts, finishing no better than fourth in recent outings; carrying 133 lb from stall 12, there is enough encouragement to suggest a bold showing, though a win looks elusive.
Form last 65-0545
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
59SR68RPR61OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 59 suggests ability but 9/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Benavente landed a winning blow two starts back and shaped with promise when third four starts back, bringing strong claims off a top-ranked our rating of 74; the question is whether he can bounce back from an unplaced effort last time.
Form last 6423810
★AI Rating★★☆☆☆
48SR74RPR59OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 48 suggests ability but 50/1 reflects a stiff ask in this field.
Brave Leader has been winless in his last five starts, with a best recent finish of fourth, and ranked last on our figures he faces a stiff ask here; he has run over today's trip and going before, and 12 days since his last outing suggests he is at least fit.
Form last 65-6469
★AI Rating★☆☆☆☆
45SR59RPR60OR—Votes
✦AI verdict
SR 45 is modest for this company — needs everything to go right at 18/1.
Prices update each odds sync. Green ▼ = shortened (steamer),
Red ▲ = drifted, Blue = = unchanged since last sync.
Best column highlights the bookmaker offering the longest price.
Blue Wonder owns one of the strongest chamber scores in this field. The Balanced lens likes the blend of SR strength (41) and market confidence (91). The profile stays composed even after the chamber introduces race-day variance.
2/1Hughie MorrisonOisin Murphy
68%Confidence
⚠ Danger Runner
Hello Cotai
Nearest rival if the simulation drifts off the primary path.
4/1 · Jim Boyle✓ Value Signal
Benavente
Strongest upside if you want a less obvious route through the field.
66/1 · Gary Brown◈ Chamber Memory
Balanced
Even weighting across form, market confidence and race-day volatility.
Decalogue (SR:73, 10/3) matches Blue Wonder as the joint top-rated in the field but carries 9lb less (9-9 vs 10-0), a meaningful weight advantage that becomes decisive on good ground at this trip. As a 3yo running in a Class 5 handicap, the age allowance further favours Decalogue, and the yard's 12% trainer strike rate combined with Saffie Osborne's 14% jockey rate signals a competent operation. The 5-day turnaround suggests the horse is in good order and the connections are confident enough to go again quickly. While DistFit and GoingFit are both marked '?' indicating an insufficient sample, the SR and weight edge over the field's other contenders make this the most compelling selection.
Each-way alternative: Blue Wonder.
Main danger: Blue Wonder — Blue Wonder (SR:73, 5/2) matches Decalogue on SR and has Oisin Murphy in the saddle — a jockey striking at 21% career — and proven DistFit:+, meaning the trip is confirmed; the 87-day absence and GoingFit:- are the only concerns keeping it off the top spot.
⚖Case against4clamped▾
Decalogue's form reads 6-8432 — two finishes outside the placings (6th, 8th) and the recent placings came in races likely weaker than today's field including joint-top SR:73 Blue Wonder ridden by Ois…
No Mkt movement data shown for Decalogue — absence of a market indicator ('in' or 'out') is notable; both Hello Cotai (out28%) and Brave Leader (out49%) show drift, but Blue Wonder is moving in (+4 m…
DistFit and GoingFit both marked '?' — Decalogue's suitability to today's specific Goodwood trip and going is entirely unproven, a concrete unknown that the weight argument cannot offset.
A 5-day turnaround is quick, and Decalogue's last run resulted in only a 3rd or 4th (latest form figure '2' is best, but preceded by a '3') — a horse that hasn't won recently being turned around fast…
ShortlistDecalogue, Blue Wonder, Oasis Sunrise, Hello Cotai