← Honest Record · Pick Winner · Mr Fox
Mapei Uk Nursery Handicap Stakes
Mr Fox’s call
Son Of A Fish
SPECULATIVE Advised 9/2 Est. 28%
Mr Fox says
Son Of A Fish (SR:65, 9/2) carries a massive market signal — steaming in 30% since opening — which in a Class 6 nursery with 2-year-olds is rarely noise. The Hannon yard (12% strike rate, 1350 runners) is a powerful nursery operation and Joe Leavy (10%, 766 runners) is a capable booking. The DistFit:- flag is the main concern at 7f, but the ClassMv:↓4 drop is the largest in the field and gives significant class relief; a horse stepping back four tiers typically finds the race easier regardless of trip. The SR of 65 is mid-range here but the weight at 9-9 is shared with the top two, and the combination of class drop plus sharp market support makes this the standout case. Each-way alternative: Arctic Tsar. Main danger: Arctic Tsar — Arctic Tsar (SR:64, 5/1) has shortened 8% in the market, is handled by Rossa Ryan (17% strike rate — the best jockey booking in the race), and trainer Clive Cox (14%) is a consistently competent operator; a 5/1 price with those connections and a gentle market move makes it the most credible threat.
Full result
Winner: Arctic Tsar (IRE) at SP 11/2. Mr Fox’s picks highlighted in gold.
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1
Arctic Tsar Fox #2 4/1
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2
Perfect Hope Fox #3 13/2
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3
Son Of A Fish Fox #1 11/2
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4
Honeymoon Bear 8/1
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5
Fortunate 18/1
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6
Hemustbeanangel 6/1
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7
Hamdani Mokhater Fox #4 9/1
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8
King Of Persia 11/1
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9
Bossy Angel 11/2
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10
Coul Blue 18/1
Top 4 — how each finished
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1
Son Of A Fish 9/2 🥉 3RD
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2
Arctic Tsar 5/1 SP 11/2 🏆 WON
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3
Perfect Hope 4/1 🥈 2ND
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4
Hamdani Mokhater 10/1 7TH